Region = MD 2A                  
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Courtney Vaughn       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6306839    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Urbana                 MD 3A         ( 9- 8, 77.8)     8- 5   
 329 A Fallston               MD 3A         (13- 4, 83.8)    11-12   
 331 H Century, MD            MD 2A         (19- 0, 88.5)    12-13  o
 404 H Westminster, MD        MD 4A         (13- 4, 82.9)     8- 6   
 406 A North Carroll          MD 3A         ( 6- 8, 77.0)     7- 4   
 411 A South Carroll          MD 2A         ( 2- 8, 67.4)     7- 3   
 421 H Franklin Regional, MD  MD 3A         ( 5-11, 72.5)    12- 7   
 422 H Glenelg HS             MD 2A         (10- 5, 84.0)     6- 5   
 425 H Walkersville           MD 2A         (14- 3, 81.2)    11-12   
 427 A Frederick              MD 3A         ( 2-11, 56.3)    21- 1   
 501 A Hereford               MD 2A         ( 5-10, 77.1)    14- 7   
 504 A Francis Scott Key      MD 2A         ( 3-11, 63.0)    20- 8   
 505 A Liberty, MD            MD 2A         ( 8- 5, 79.9)    12- 9   
 509 A C. Milton Wright       MD 3A         ( 3-11, 75.7)    11- 7   
 513 H Catoctin               MD 1A         ( 9- 4, 72.4)    15- 5   
 515 A Century, MD            MD 2A         (19- 0, 88.5)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Urbana                  8- 5       3     4          -1.65
   329 A Fallston               11-12      -1    -1           0.36
   331 H Century, MD            12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.55
   404 H Westminster, MD         8- 6       2     1           0.98
   406 A North Carroll           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.50
   411 A South Carroll           7- 3       4    15    ---   -6.00
   421 H Franklin Regional, MD  12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   422 H Glenelg HS              6- 5       1     0           1.06
   425 H Walkersville           11-12      -1     2    -     -3.76
   427 A Frederick              21- 1      20    26           0.00
   501 A Hereford               14- 7       7     5           1.65
   504 A Francis Scott Key      20- 8      12    19           0.00
   505 A Liberty, MD            12- 9       3     2           0.45
   509 A C. Milton Wright       11- 7       4     6    -     -2.74
   513 H Catoctin               15- 5      10    11           0.00
   515 A Century, MD             9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A South Carroll           7- 3       4    15    ---   -6.00
   421 H Franklin Regional, MD  12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   406 A North Carroll           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.50
   425 H Walkersville           11-12      -1     2    -     -3.76
   509 A C. Milton Wright       11- 7       4     6    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Century, MD             9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.04
   331 H Century, MD            12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.20 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.81 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   112
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/