Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Randy Ball            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1171112    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 3, 92.7)    13-12   
 405 H Mt. St. Mary's Academy NY Martin     (10- 3, 86.0)    14- 5   
 407 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 3- 6, 83.3)    14-12   
 408 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1- 7, 77.3)    14- 2   
 410 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 4, 91.8)    12- 8   
 411 H Mt. Mercy Academy      NY Martin     ( 7- 3, 83.4)    12- 1   
 412 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 80.7)    10- 4   
 425 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 77.4)    14- 8   
 427 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 79.9)    16- 7   
 429 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.9)     5-11   
 502 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     6-17   
 503 A Nardin Academy         NY Martin     ( 1- 7, 73.1)    14- 3   
 504 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 80.7)    13- 8   
 506 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 77.4)     9- 2   
 509 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 79.9)    10- 6   
 511 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.9)     8-13   
 512 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     4-16   
 522 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 3, 92.7)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Hamburg                13-12       1     0           0.99
   405 H Mt. St. Mary's Academy 14- 5       9     6    +      2.30
   407 A Niagara-Wheatfield     14-12       2     6    --    -4.94
   408 H Lockport               14- 2      12    15           0.00
   410 A West Seneca East       12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.58
   411 H Mt. Mercy Academy      12- 1      11     9           0.62
   412 A Iroquois               10- 4       6     9    -     -3.50
   425 H Williamsville South    14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   427 H Grand Island           16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   429 A East Aurora             5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.29
   502 H Amherst                 6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.84
   503 A Nardin Academy         14- 3      11    17           0.00
   504 H Iroquois               13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   506 A Williamsville South     9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00
   509 A Grand Island           10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   511 H East Aurora             8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.81
   512 A Amherst                 4-16     -12    -9          -0.32
   522 A Hamburg                 6- 8      -2    -2           0.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Grand Island           10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   407 A Niagara-Wheatfield     14-12       2     6    --    -4.94
   425 H Williamsville South    14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   504 H Iroquois               13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   412 A Iroquois               10- 4       6     9    -     -3.50
   429 A East Aurora             5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.29
   502 H Amherst                 6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.84
   506 A Williamsville South     9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00
   511 H East Aurora             8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A West Seneca East       12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.58
   405 H Mt. St. Mary's Academy 14- 5       9     6    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.48 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.27 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/