Western Albemarle             3 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Martha Hogan          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.9188232    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Albemarle              VA NW AAA     (11- 5, 89.1)     5-12   
 323 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 97.3)     8-20   
 401 H Salem, VA              VA NW AA      ( 9- 3, 84.9)     8-10   
 411 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (16- 5, 95.5)     5-20   
 426 A Covenant School        VA LIS        (10- 5, 86.2)   
 502 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 7- 5, 85.7)    13- 8   
 503 H Brentsville District   VA NW AA      ( 0- 4, 60.8)   
 505 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 97.3)     3-17   
 511 H Albemarle              VA NW AAA     (11- 5, 89.1)     9-11  o
 519 N Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 4- 4, 84.3)    10- 9  o
 523 H Dominion               VA NW AA      (12- 5, 83.6)    15-11   
 530 H Loudoun Valley         VA Natl       (19- 4, 93.0)     6-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Albemarle               5-12      -7    -9    +      2.58
   323 A Collegiate School       8-20     -12   -17           0.00
   401 H Salem, VA               8-10      -2    -3           1.01
   411 H St. Anne's-Belfield     5-20     -15   -13           0.00
   502 A Rockbridge County      13- 8       5    -6    +++   11.25
   505 H Collegiate School       3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   511 H Albemarle               9-11  o   -2    -7    ++     5.21
   519 N Charlottesville        10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.67
   523 H Dominion               15-11       4    -1    ++     5.73
   530 H Loudoun Valley          6-17     -11   -11           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Rockbridge County      13- 8       5    -6    +++   11.25
   511 H Albemarle               9-11  o   -2    -7    ++     5.21
   519 N Charlottesville        10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.67
   523 H Dominion               15-11       4    -1    ++     5.73
   316 A Albemarle               5-12      -7    -9    +      2.58




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.67 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.26 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0


  
/