Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Golden Bears         Coach  =   Kelly O'Brien         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7483292    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Johnson City           NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-16, 72.3)    13- 5   
 404 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 9, 91.7)     7-14   
 406 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.7)     3- 6   
 408 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (10- 7, 88.1)     6- 8   
 411 H Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-12, 81.4)    13-12 2o
 413 A Johnson City           NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-16, 72.3) 10
 420 A Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-12, 81.4)    15-13   
 424 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 73.7)    16- 5   
 426 A Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (18- 1, 99.9)     1-13   
 428 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 9, 91.7)     9-16   
 429 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)     9- 6   
 502 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.7)     5-10   
 505 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (10- 7, 88.1)     8- 7   
 506 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-12, 75.8)    15-11   
 508 A Maine-Endwell          NY B  Sec 4   (13- 4, 93.8)     7- 8   
 511 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-12, 75.8)    10- 3   
 512 H Johnson City           NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-16, 72.3)    12- 4   
 516 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 73.7)    13-12   
 520 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 73.7)    13- 6   
 523 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.7)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Johnson City           13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   404 H Horseheads              7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.89
   406 H Ithaca                  3- 6      -3    -2          -0.97
   408 A Binghamton              6- 8      -2    -2           0.94
   411 H Corning West           13-12 2o    1     6    --    -5.18
   420 A Corning West           15-13       2     3          -1.72
   424 H Union-Endicott         16- 5      11    13           0.00
   426 A Corning East            1-13     -12   -14           0.00
   428 A Horseheads              9-16      -7    -6          -0.43
   429 H Columbia, NY            9- 6       3     8          n/a  
   502 A Ithaca                  5-10      -5    -4          -0.51
   505 H Binghamton              8- 7       1     0           1.48
   506 A Owego Free Academy     15-11       4     9    --    -5.35
   508 A Maine-Endwell           7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.61
   511 H Owego Free Academy     10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   512 H Johnson City           12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00
   516 A Union-Endicott         13-12       1    11    ---   -9.00
   520 H Union-Endicott         13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   523 A Ithaca                 10-12      -2    -4    +      2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Union-Endicott         13-12       1    11    ---   -9.00
   411 H Corning West           13-12 2o    1     6    --    -5.18
   429 H Columbia, NY            9- 6       3     8    --         
   506 A Owego Free Academy     15-11       4     9    --    -5.35
   403 H Johnson City           13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   404 H Horseheads              7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.89
   511 H Owego Free Academy     10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   512 H Johnson City           12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00
   520 H Union-Endicott         13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Maine-Endwell           7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.61
   523 A Ithaca                 10-12      -2    -4    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.40 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.39 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/