Topsail                       6 - 5


 
                                     Region = NC East                
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Bruce Ketcham         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   92.3350372    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Cape Fear Academy      NC East       ( 9- 6, 85.8)    14-15  o
 304 H Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      (10- 4, 97.6)    12-20   
 308 A Middle Creek           NC E Cen      ( 2-10, 76.5)    19- 3   
 310 H Laney                  NC East       ( 0- 5, 70.6)    14- 3   
 317 H Broughton              NC East       ( 6- 3, 93.2)     7-13   
 317 H Wakefield, NC          NC East       ( 1- 8, 78.2)    21-10   
 323 A Laney                  NC East       ( 0- 5, 70.6)    13- 2   
 405 A W.G. Enloe             NC East       ( 8- 7, 89.9)    13-14   
 410 A Cape Fear Academy      NC East       ( 9- 6, 85.8)    16-14   
 412 A Hoggard                NC East       ( 1-10, 76.1)    21-10   
 421 H Green Hope             NC East       (20- 2, 99.9)    13-21   
 422 H Athens Drive           NC East       ( 5- 7, 87.0)    15-15  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Cape Fear Academy      14-15  o   -1     3    --    -4.81
   304 H Chapel Hill            12-20      -8    -7          -0.03
   308 A Middle Creek           19- 3      16    11           0.00
   310 H Laney                  14- 3      11    19           0.00
   317 H Broughton               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.41
   317 H Wakefield, NC          21-10      11    11           0.00
   323 A Laney                  13- 2      11    17           0.00
   405 A W.G. Enloe             13-14      -1    -2           1.14
   410 A Cape Fear Academy      16-14       2     1           0.05
   412 A Hoggard                21-10      11    11           0.00
   421 H Green Hope             13-21      -8   -10    +      2.00
   422 H Athens Drive           15-15  o    0     2    -     -2.61


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Cape Fear Academy      14-15  o   -1     3    --    -4.81
   317 H Broughton               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.41
   422 H Athens Drive           15-15  o    0     2    -     -2.61


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Green Hope             13-21      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.72 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.78 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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