Stillwater                    6 - 3


 
                                     Region = MN NSLA-S              
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Rick Estes            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   94.2793121    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Owatonna               MN NSLA-S     ( 3- 8, 77.8)    11- 0   
 410 H Rochester, MN          MN NSLA-S     ( 8- 2, 91.8)     8- 4   
 412 H Hastings, MN           MN NSLA-S     ( 0- 8, 74.2)     6- 0   
 424 H RAVE-Eagan             MN NSLA-S     ( 8- 2, 91.2)     8- 9   
 426 A North Suburban (W)     MN NSLA-N     (11- 0, 99.9)     3-10   
 501 H Lakeville              MN NSLA-S     ( 5- 4, 85.7)    12- 6   
 504 H Centennial, MN         MN NSLA-E     ( 7- 3, 91.8)     9- 7   
 508 A Osseo                  MN NSLA-W     ( 2- 7, 81.8)    11- 9   
 509 A St. Cloud Tech-Apollo  MN MSHSL      ( 9- 1, 95.5)     7-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Owatonna               11- 0      11    11           0.00
   410 H Rochester, MN           8- 4       4     0    ++     4.63
   412 H Hastings, MN            6- 0       6    17    --    -4.00
   424 H RAVE-Eagan              8- 9      -1     0          -0.97
   426 A North Suburban (W)      3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   501 H Lakeville              12- 6       6     5           0.47
   504 H Centennial, MN          9- 7       2     0    +      2.57
   508 A Osseo                  11- 9       2     7    --    -5.32
   509 A St. Cloud Tech-Apollo   7-11      -4    -6          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Hastings, MN            6- 0       6    17    --    -4.00
   508 A Osseo                  11- 9       2     7    --    -5.32


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Rochester, MN           8- 4       4     0    ++     4.63
   426 A North Suburban (W)      3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   504 H Centennial, MN          9- 7       2     0    +      2.57
   509 A St. Cloud Tech-Apollo   7-11      -4    -6    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.16 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.25 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0


  
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