Region = NC W Cen               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Kelly Routh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5047913    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H Durham Academy         NC E Cen      (14- 5, 95.5)     5- 8   
 304 H Riverside, NC          NC E Cen      ( 0-10, 72.4)    12- 5   
 308 A W.H. Page              NC W Cen      ( 4- 9, 81.3)     8- 7   
 313 H Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      (10- 4, 97.6)     4-19   
 317 A Northwest Guilford     NC W Cen      ( 7- 7, 85.1)     8-10   
 323 A Grimsley               NC W Cen      (11- 8, 86.9)     3- 7   
 324 A Ragsdale               NC W Cen      ( 4- 7, 81.1)    13- 8   
 328 A West Forsyth           NC W Cen      ( 1- 9, 78.2)    13-12   
 329 A Western Guilford       NC W Cen      (12- 6, 89.6)     7- 8   
 405 H Grimsley               NC W Cen      (11- 8, 86.9)     8-10   
 406 H Western Guilford       NC W Cen      (12- 6, 89.6)     8-15   
 418 H Northwest Guilford     NC W Cen      ( 7- 7, 85.1)    17-16 2o
 419 H Ragsdale               NC W Cen      ( 4- 7, 81.1)     9- 8   
 422 A Greensboro Day School  NC W Cen      ( 3- 7, 82.4)     2- 9   
 424 H W.H. Page              NC W Cen      ( 4- 9, 81.3)     8-12   
 425 H East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      ( 9- 5, 94.9)     2-16   
 429 H Myers Park             NC West       (15- 3, 93.6)     3-12   
 429 H West Forsyth           NC W Cen      ( 1- 9, 78.2)    14- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Durham Academy          5- 8      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   304 H Riverside, NC          12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   308 A W.H. Page               8- 7       1     0           0.89
   313 H Chapel Hill             4-19     -15   -14           0.00
   317 A Northwest Guilford      8-10      -2    -3           1.75
   323 A Grimsley                3- 7      -4    -5           1.54
   324 A Ragsdale               13- 8       5     0    ++     4.71
   328 A West Forsyth           13-12       1     3    -     -2.19
   329 A Western Guilford        7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.20
   405 H Grimsley                8-10      -2    -3           1.68
   406 H Western Guilford        8-15      -7    -6          -0.66
   418 H Northwest Guilford     17-16 2o    1    -1    +      2.88
   419 H Ragsdale                9- 8       1     2          -1.16
   422 A Greensboro Day School   2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.97
   424 H W.H. Page               8-12      -4     1    --    -5.97
   425 H East Chapel Hill        2-16     -14   -11           0.00
   429 H Myers Park              3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   429 H West Forsyth           14- 5       9     5    +      3.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Greensboro Day School   2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.97
   424 H W.H. Page               8-12      -4     1    --    -5.97
   304 H Riverside, NC          12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   328 A West Forsyth           13-12       1     3    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Durham Academy          5- 8      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   329 A Western Guilford        7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.20
   324 A Ragsdale               13- 8       5     0    ++     4.71
   418 H Northwest Guilford     17-16 2o    1    -1    +      2.88
   429 H West Forsyth           14- 5       9     5    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.33 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.58 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/