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Region = NC W Cen Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Kelly RouthGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.5047913 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Durham Academy NC E Cen (14- 5, 95.5) 5- 8 304 H Riverside, NC NC E Cen ( 0-10, 72.4) 12- 5 308 A W.H. Page NC W Cen ( 4- 9, 81.3) 8- 7 313 H Chapel Hill NC E Cen (10- 4, 97.6) 4-19 317 A Northwest Guilford NC W Cen ( 7- 7, 85.1) 8-10 323 A Grimsley NC W Cen (11- 8, 86.9) 3- 7 324 A Ragsdale NC W Cen ( 4- 7, 81.1) 13- 8 328 A West Forsyth NC W Cen ( 1- 9, 78.2) 13-12 329 A Western Guilford NC W Cen (12- 6, 89.6) 7- 8 405 H Grimsley NC W Cen (11- 8, 86.9) 8-10 406 H Western Guilford NC W Cen (12- 6, 89.6) 8-15 418 H Northwest Guilford NC W Cen ( 7- 7, 85.1) 17-16 2o 419 H Ragsdale NC W Cen ( 4- 7, 81.1) 9- 8 422 A Greensboro Day School NC W Cen ( 3- 7, 82.4) 2- 9 424 H W.H. Page NC W Cen ( 4- 9, 81.3) 8-12 425 H East Chapel Hill NC E Cen ( 9- 5, 94.9) 2-16 429 H Myers Park NC West (15- 3, 93.6) 3-12 429 H West Forsyth NC W Cen ( 1- 9, 78.2) 14- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Durham Academy 5- 8 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 304 H Riverside, NC 12- 5 7 10 - -3.00 308 A W.H. Page 8- 7 1 0 0.89 313 H Chapel Hill 4-19 -15 -14 0.00 317 A Northwest Guilford 8-10 -2 -3 1.75 323 A Grimsley 3- 7 -4 -5 1.54 324 A Ragsdale 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.71 328 A West Forsyth 13-12 1 3 - -2.19 329 A Western Guilford 7- 8 -1 -8 +++ 7.20 405 H Grimsley 8-10 -2 -3 1.68 406 H Western Guilford 8-15 -7 -6 -0.66 418 H Northwest Guilford 17-16 2o 1 -1 + 2.88 419 H Ragsdale 9- 8 1 2 -1.16 422 A Greensboro Day School 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.97 424 H W.H. Page 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.97 425 H East Chapel Hill 2-16 -14 -11 0.00 429 H Myers Park 3-12 -9 -10 1.00 429 H West Forsyth 14- 5 9 5 + 3.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Greensboro Day School 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.97 424 H W.H. Page 8-12 -4 1 -- -5.97 304 H Riverside, NC 12- 5 7 10 - -3.00 328 A West Forsyth 13-12 1 3 - -2.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Durham Academy 5- 8 -3 -12 +++ 7.00 329 A Western Guilford 7- 8 -1 -8 +++ 7.20 324 A Ragsdale 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.71 418 H Northwest Guilford 17-16 2o 1 -1 + 2.88 429 H West Forsyth 14- 5 9 5 + 3.95/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.33 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 68.58 Local SOS Rank............. 24 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 30 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7