Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Kim Hannigan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8476410    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.6)     7-15   
 404 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 74.1)     4- 5   
 406 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)     2-13   
 410 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 73.6)     8- 9   
 412 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 94.0)     4-16   
 418 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.7)     5- 6   
 426 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.8)     9-15   
 427 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 85.5)     4-17   
 501 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.5)     9-18   
 502 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 63.8)    15- 4   
 504 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 75.5)    15- 7   
 508 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.4)     6-15   
 510 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.0)    11- 4   
 512 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 92.7)     8-15   
 516 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 82.0)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Comsewogue              7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   404 H Patchogue-Medford       4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.50
   406 H Northport               2-13     -11   -23           0.00
   410 A Bellport                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.04
   412 A East Islip              4-16     -12   -19           0.00
   418 A Walt Whitman, NY        5- 6      -1     0          -0.01
   426 A West Islip              9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   427 A Lindenhurst             4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   501 H West Babylon            9-18      -9   -14           1.00
   502 A Copiague               15- 4      11    10           0.00
   504 H Middle Country         15- 7       8     1    +++    6.89
   508 H Commack                 6-15      -9   -14           1.00
   510 H Brentwood, NY          11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00
   512 H Ward Melville           8-15      -7   -16    +      3.00
   516 A Deer Park               8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Patchogue-Medford       4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.50
   410 A Bellport                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.04
   510 H Brentwood, NY          11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Middle Country         15- 7       8     1    +++    6.89
   516 A Deer Park               8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.37
   426 A West Islip              9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   329 A Comsewogue              7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   512 H Ward Melville           8-15      -7   -16    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.62 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.43 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/