Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows                                        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4939575    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 85.5)    18- 8   
 331 A Smithtown East         NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 77.2)    14- 8   
 404 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 406 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 89.3)     9-10   
 412 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.0)    19- 0   
 418 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 3, 97.1)    12-13   
 420 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.7)    16- 9   
 426 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 72.2)    19- 7   
 427 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 91.4)     7-15   
 501 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 84.7)    14- 9   
 502 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 82.0)     9- 4   
 504 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.8)    11- 9   
 508 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.4)    24- 9   
 510 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 92.7)    12-16   
 512 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 81.0)    16-11   
 516 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 94.0)    12-13 2o
 520 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.4)    20- 8   
 523 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 3, 97.1)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Lindenhurst            18- 8      10     3    +++    6.88
   331 A Smithtown East         14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   404 A Northport               5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   406 A North Babylon           9-10      -1     0          -0.39
   412 H Brentwood, NY          19- 0      19    29           0.00
   418 H Bay Shore              12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.61
   420 H Connetquot             16- 9       7    15    -     -3.00
   426 H Half Hollow Hills      19- 7      12    18           0.00
   427 A Commack                 7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.21
   501 H Smithtown West         14- 9       5     5          -0.89
   502 A Deer Park               9- 4       5     6          -1.60
   504 A West Islip             11- 9       2     1           0.14
   508 H William Floyd          24- 9      15     9           0.89
   510 A Ward Melville          12-16      -4    -4           0.08
   512 A Longwood               16-11       5     7    -     -2.62
   516 H East Islip             12-13 2o   -1    -3    +      2.44
   520 H William Floyd          20- 8      12     9           0.89
   523 A Bay Shore              10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Smithtown East         14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   427 A Commack                 7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.21
   420 H Connetquot             16- 9       7    15    -     -3.00
   512 A Longwood               16-11       5     7    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Lindenhurst            18- 8      10     3    +++    6.88
   523 A Bay Shore              10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.50
   418 H Bay Shore              12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.61
   516 H East Islip             12-13 2o   -1    -3    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.59 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.15 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/