Region = NY Ivy                 
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Carol Pouliot         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1500854    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        ( 4- 7, 86.1)    10-11   
 410 A Portledge School       NY Indep      (13- 2, 93.8)     6- 8   
 411 H Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        ( 4- 6, 87.9)     9- 6   
 419 H Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 2- 7, 85.6)    11- 8   
 421 H Hackley School         NY Ivy        (19- 2, 99.9)     4-16   
 424 A Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 2- 8, 82.4)     6- 7   
 425 A Brearley School        NY Indep      ( 1- 3, 86.2)     8- 7   
 426 H Fieldston School       NY Ivy        (11- 4, 94.5)     5-13   
 503 H Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        ( 4- 7, 86.1)    11- 8   
 505 A Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        ( 4- 6, 87.9)    10- 9   
 508 A Nightingale-Bamford    NY Indep      ( 2- 3, 80.2)    14- 6   
 510 A Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 2- 7, 85.6)     5-10   
 512 A Hackley School         NY Ivy        (19- 2, 99.9)     5-16   
 515 H Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 2- 8, 82.4)    10- 9  o
 517 A Fieldston School       NY Ivy        (11- 4, 94.5)     9-16   
 521 A Portledge School       NY Indep      (13- 2, 93.8)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Horace Mann School     10-11      -1     0          -1.81
   410 A Portledge School        6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.94
   411 H Trinity School, NY      9- 6       3     1           1.94
   419 H Poly Prep CDS          11- 8       3     3          -0.29
   421 H Hackley School          4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   424 A Dalton School           6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.44
   425 A Brearley School         8- 7       1     0           0.34
   426 H Fieldston School        5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.45
   503 H Horace Mann School     11- 8       3     2           0.14
   505 A Trinity School, NY     10- 9       1     0           2.00
   508 A Nightingale-Bamford    14- 6       8     6           1.32
   510 A Poly Prep CDS           5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.24
   512 A Hackley School          5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   515 H Dalton School          10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.49
   517 A Fieldston School        9-16      -7    -7           0.60
   521 A Portledge School        6-11      -5    -6           1.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Poly Prep CDS           5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.24
   424 A Dalton School           6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.44
   515 H Dalton School          10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.49
   426 H Fieldston School        5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Portledge School        6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.89 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.69 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/