Region = MD 2A                  
   Nickname = D 'Gators              Coach  =   Marty Conway          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.4548798    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Long Reach             MD 3A         ( 6- 6, 68.8)    10- 9   
 324 H Edgewood               MD 2A         ( 1- 6, 59.9)    14- 2   
 327 H Bel Air                MD 3A         ( 7- 6, 80.3)     2-14   
 328 H Oakland Mills          MD 1A         ( 4-10, 64.8)     9- 8   
 330 A Mt. Hebron             MD 3A         (18- 0, 99.9)     0-29   
 404 H Glenelg HS             MD 2A         (10- 5, 84.0)     2-15   
 407 A Atholton               MD 2A         ( 8- 5, 72.1)     5-11   
 419 A Wilde Lake             MD 3A         ( 3- 8, 63.2)    11-10   
 422 H Chapelgate Christian   MD IAAM B     ( 3-13, 70.8)    15-10   
 422 H Elizabeth Seton        DC WCAC       (13- 6, 78.6)     7- 8   
 428 A Howard                 MD 2A         ( 0-10, 58.9)    15- 9   
 502 A Centennial, MD         MD 3A         (12- 3, 87.1)     2-16   
 505 H Hammond                MD 2A         ( 5- 9, 66.1)    10- 9   
 508 H River Hill             MD 3A         ( 7- 7, 72.4)     9-16   
 512 H River Hill             MD 3A         ( 7- 7, 72.4)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Long Reach             10- 9       1     0           1.64
   324 H Edgewood               14- 2      12     9           0.20
   327 H Bel Air                 2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   328 H Oakland Mills           9- 8       1     4    -     -3.94
   330 A Mt. Hebron              0-29     -29   -31           0.00
   404 H Glenelg HS              2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   407 A Atholton                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   419 A Wilde Lake             11-10       1     4    -     -3.96
   422 H Chapelgate Christian   15-10       5    -1          n/a  
   422 H Elizabeth Seton         7- 8      -1    -8          n/a  
   428 A Howard                 15- 9       6     9    -     -3.31
   502 A Centennial, MD          2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   505 H Hammond                10- 9       1     3    -     -2.61
   508 H River Hill              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.29
   512 H River Hill             11-14      -3    -2          -0.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H River Hill              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.29
   328 H Oakland Mills           9- 8       1     4    -     -3.94
   407 A Atholton                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.06
   419 A Wilde Lake             11-10       1     4    -     -3.96
   428 A Howard                 15- 9       6     9    -     -3.31
   505 H Hammond                10- 9       1     3    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Chapelgate Christian   15-10       5    -1    +++        
   422 H Elizabeth Seton         7- 8      -1    -8    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.95 Local Power Rank...........    54
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.88 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    88
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -29.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/