Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Monarchs             Coach  =   Tyrone Allison        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9203644    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (14- 5, 86.2)     9-15   
 405 A Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   (10- 9, 83.9)     9- 8   
 407 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 78.4)    11-10   
 408 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-17, 63.8)    14- 3   
 410 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.0)    13- 9   
 412 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 82.7)    16- 3   
 426 A Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (11- 8, 82.4)     9- 6  o
 429 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 5- 9, 74.6)     8- 4   
 502 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 5- 9, 74.6)    11- 4   
 503 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (13- 6, 91.3)     8-13   
 506 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 71.8)    10- 4   
 508 H Nichols School         NY Martin     ( 9- 9, 88.3)     9- 5   
 509 H Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-17, 63.8)    11- 4   
 511 H Newark, NY             NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 75.3)    12- 8   
 516 H Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (11- 8, 82.4)    11-10   
 517 A Canandaigua Academy    NY A  Sec 5   (12- 8, 84.5)    12-13 2o
 518 A Nichols School         NY Martin     ( 9- 9, 88.3)    12- 9   
 525 N Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (15- 5, 87.0)    10- 6   
 601 N Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Waterloo                9-15      -6     0    --    -5.62
   405 A Midlakes                9- 8       1     1          -0.95
   407 H Gates-Chili            11-10       1     8    ---   -7.72
   408 A Aquinas Institute, NY  14- 3      11    22           0.00
   410 A Irondequoit            13- 9       4     6    -     -2.81
   412 A Sweet Home             16- 3      13     2          n/a  
   426 A Marcus Whitman          9- 6  o    3     3          -0.45
   429 H Livonia                 8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   502 A Livonia                11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   503 A East Rochester          8-13      -5    -5           0.49
   506 H Palmyra-Macedon        10- 4       6    15    --    -4.00
   508 H Nichols School          9- 5       4     0          n/a  
   509 H Aquinas Institute, NY  11- 4       7    23    -     -3.00
   511 H Newark, NY             12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   516 H Marcus Whitman         11-10       1     4    -     -3.73
   517 A Canandaigua Academy    12-13 2o   -1     1    -     -2.34
   518 A Nichols School         12- 9       3    -2          n/a  
   525 N Victor                 10- 6       4     0    ++     4.50
   601 N Brighton, NY            3-19     -16   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Gates-Chili            11-10       1     8    ---   -7.72
   429 H Livonia                 8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   511 H Newark, NY             12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   403 A Waterloo                9-15      -6     0    --    -5.62
   506 H Palmyra-Macedon        10- 4       6    15    --    -4.00
   410 A Irondequoit            13- 9       4     6    -     -2.81
   502 A Livonia                11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   509 H Aquinas Institute, NY  11- 4       7    23    -     -3.00
   516 H Marcus Whitman         11-10       1     4    -     -3.73
   517 A Canandaigua Academy    12-13 2o   -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Sweet Home             16- 3      13     2    +++        
   508 H Nichols School          9- 5       4     0    ++         
   518 A Nichols School         12- 9       3    -2    ++         
   525 N Victor                 10- 6       4     0    ++     4.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.45 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.25 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/