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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.5232544 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Shelton CT Div 2 ( 3-13, 67.6) 6- 3 406 H St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 4-12, 74.5) 6- 5 410 A Ridgefield CT Div 2 ( 9- 7, 83.1) 2-15 412 A Greenwich HS CT Div 1 (12- 5, 95.6) 0-13 420 H Staples CT Div 2 ( 2-13, 72.9) 8- 7 422 A Shelton CT Div 2 ( 3-13, 67.6) 5- 3 425 H Haddam-Killingworth CT Div 2 ( 5-11, 73.9) 9- 8 427 A Wilton CT Div 1 (15- 6, 95.8) 2-18 501 H Fairfield Warde CT Div 1 ( 4-10, 76.0) 8-11 503 H Danbury CT Div 2 (10- 9, 81.8) 5-17 508 A Housatonic Valley CT Div 2 ( 1- 9, 62.2) 6- 1 511 A Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 (14- 4, 87.4) 7-19 513 H Brookfield CT Div 2 (15- 5, 86.4) 5-13 517 H Trumbull CT Div 2 (10- 7, 81.7) 3- 6 520 H Housatonic Valley CT Div 2 ( 1- 9, 62.2) 12- 2 522 H Brien McMahon CT Div 2 ( 4-10, 77.3) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Shelton 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.39 406 H St. Joseph, CT 6- 5 1 0 0.48 410 A Ridgefield 2-15 -13 -9 -0.64 412 A Greenwich HS 0-13 -13 -21 0.00 420 H Staples 8- 7 1 2 -1.06 422 A Shelton 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.08 425 H Haddam-Killingworth 9- 8 1 1 -0.14 427 A Wilton 2-18 -16 -22 0.00 501 H Fairfield Warde 8-11 -3 -1 -1.96 503 H Danbury 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.19 508 A Housatonic Valley 6- 1 5 11 -- -5.00 511 A Fairfield Ludlowe 7-19 -12 -13 0.00 513 H Brookfield 5-13 -8 -11 + 2.00 517 H Trumbull 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.72 520 H Housatonic Valley 12- 2 10 12 0.00 522 H Brien McMahon 6- 7 -1 -2 1.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Shelton 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.39 422 A Shelton 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.08 508 A Housatonic Valley 6- 1 5 11 -- -5.00 503 H Danbury 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Brookfield 5-13 -8 -11 + 2.00 517 H Trumbull 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.72/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 74.35 Local Power Rank........... 44 Local SOS Rating......... 55.21 Local SOS Rank............. 36 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0