Novato                        2 - 5


 
                                     Region = CA MCAL                
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Emily Fenwick         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   80.1824951    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H San Marin              CA MCAL       ( 4- 8, 74.4)    10-11   
 315 H Redwood                CA MCAL       ( 3- 5, 82.3)   
 322 H Marin Catholic         CA MCAL       (10- 5, 88.4)     5-19   
 329 A Tamalpais              CA MCAL       ( 7- 7, 88.1)     1-19   
 405 A San Marin              CA MCAL       ( 4- 8, 74.4)     8- 6   
 419 H Sir Francis Drake      CA MCAL       ( 1- 4, 70.9)   
 421 H San Marin              CA MCAL       ( 4- 8, 74.4)    11- 7   
 426 H Sonoma Academy         CA MCAL       ( 1- 8, 71.5)   
 427 A St. Francis, CA        CA SJS        ( 8- 8, 80.3)     7- 9   
 502 A University HS, SF      CA MCAL       (12- 5, 90.2)     6-20   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H San Marin              10-11      -1     0          -1.52
   322 H Marin Catholic          5-19     -14   -13           0.00
   329 A Tamalpais               1-19     -18   -15           0.00
   405 A San Marin               8- 6       2    -1    +      4.00
   421 H San Marin              11- 7       4     0    +      3.48
   427 A St. Francis, CA         7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.85
   502 A University HS, SF       6-20     -14   -17           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A St. Francis, CA         7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.85
   405 A San Marin               8- 6       2    -1    +      4.00
   421 H San Marin              11- 7       4     0    +      3.48




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.69 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.68 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0


  
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