Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Silver Warrior       Coach  =   Pete Melito           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8627319    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Suffern                NY A  Sec 1   (10- 8, 91.0)     5-12   
 406 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)    17-10   
 408 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 9, 91.7)     5- 4   
 411 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 95.0)     3-11   
 413 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-10, 76.5)     9- 6   
 418 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (22- 2, 98.9)     4-13   
 419 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 87.9)    10- 9   
 421 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 63.7)    18- 4   
 425 H Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 77.6)    15- 6   
 427 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.2)     6-10   
 429 H Nanuet                 NY C  Sec 1   ( 7- 8, 78.4)    13- 6   
 501 A Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 77.6)     9- 8   
 502 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)    13-10   
 504 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-10, 76.5)     9- 8   
 505 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (19- 3, 99.9)     2-19   
 508 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 92.4)     7-13   
 510 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   ( 4- 6, 75.8)    15- 7   
 512 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 63.7)    19- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Suffern                 5-12      -7    -5          n/a  
   406 H Columbia, NY           17-10       7     8          -1.69
   408 H Horseheads              5- 4       1    -4          n/a  
   411 H Guilderland             3-11      -8    -7          -0.20
   413 A Colonie                 9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.58
   418 A Penn Yan Academy        4-13      -9   -12          n/a  
   419 A Shaker                 10- 9       1    -1    +      2.85
   421 A Ballston Spa           18- 4      14    22           0.00
   425 H Averill Park           15- 6       9     9          -0.57
   427 H Saratoga Springs        6-10      -4    -2          -1.00
   429 H Nanuet                 13- 6       7     8          n/a  
   501 A Averill Park            9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.47
   502 A Columbia, NY           13-10       3     7    --    -4.59
   504 H Colonie                 9- 8       1    10    ---   -9.00
   505 A Bethlehem               2-19     -17   -13           0.00
   508 H Shenendehowa            7-13      -6    -5          -0.77
   510 A Albany Academy SG      15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   512 H Ballston Spa           19- 2      17    23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Colonie                 9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.58
   501 A Averill Park            9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.47
   504 H Colonie                 9- 8       1    10    ---   -9.00
   502 A Columbia, NY           13-10       3     7    --    -4.59
   510 A Albany Academy SG      15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Horseheads              5- 4       1    -4    ++         
   419 A Shaker                 10- 9       1    -1    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.63 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.64 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/