Conf =  L2                        Region = NY C  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Dawn Shackles         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3942871    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.4)    16- 9   
 329 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.7)    14- 7   
 405 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (14- 5, 91.6)     3-15   
 407 A Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 66.9)    17- 4   
 411 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.2)     4-13   
 417 H Shoreham-Wading River  NY C  Sec 11  (17- 3, 97.2)     5-19   
 419 H East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 74.5)    20- 9   
 421 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    12-13   
 425 A Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.1)    22- 9   
 427 A Southampton            NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-11, 68.7)    18- 3   
 501 H Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.6)    12- 8   
 503 H Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 69.8)    15- 5   
 505 H Stony Brook School     NY C  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 60.3)    17- 1   
 513 H Smithtown East         NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 77.2)    18-13   
 515 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.5)     2-20   
 517 A Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.0)    17- 7   
 524 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.7)    23- 5   
 531 N Shoreham-Wading River  NY C  Sec 11  (17- 3, 97.2)     8-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A William Floyd          16- 9       7     3    +      3.31
   329 H Connetquot             14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   405 A Sayville                3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.47
   407 A Miller Place           17- 4      13    18           0.00
   411 H Huntington              4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.86
   417 H Shoreham-Wading River   5-19     -14   -10           0.00
   419 H East Hampton           20- 9      11    12           0.00
   421 A Hauppauge              12-13      -1     0          -0.66
   425 A Harborfields           22- 9      13    10           0.00
   427 A Southampton            18- 3      15    16           0.00
   501 H Comsewogue             12- 8       4     0    +      3.61
   503 H Babylon                15- 5      10    17           0.00
   505 H Stony Brook School     17- 1      16    26           0.00
   513 H Smithtown East         18-13       5     9    --    -4.82
   515 A Rocky Point             2-20     -18   -14           0.00
   517 A Westhampton Beach      17- 7      10     7    +      2.84
   524 H Bayport-Blue Point     23- 5      18    10           0.00
   531 N Shoreham-Wading River   8-19     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Smithtown East         18-13       5     9    --    -4.82
   329 H Connetquot             14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   405 A Sayville                3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.47
   411 H Huntington              4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A William Floyd          16- 9       7     3    +      3.31
   501 H Comsewogue             12- 8       4     0    +      3.61
   517 A Westhampton Beach      17- 7      10     7    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.07 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.67 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/