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Region = MA West Nickname = A Falcons Coach = David YelleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6184082 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 A South Hadley MA West (13- 5, 88.6) 13- 7 406 H Conard CT Div 1 ( 7- 9, 83.0) 11- 5 411 A Amherst-Pelham MA West ( 4- 9, 79.7) 11- 5 413 H Cathedral, MA MA West ( 0-15, 68.0) 11- 3 418 H West Springfield, MA MA Indep ( 7- 8, 83.1) 15- 8 425 H East Longmeadow MA West ( 2- 9, 74.8) 12- 5 427 A Wilbraham & Monson NE ( 3- 5, 72.7) 15- 5 429 H Williston Northampton NE ( 6- 5, 88.4) 10- 8 504 H Agawam MA West ( 9- 9, 84.0) 15-11 509 A Longmeadow MA West (20- 2, 96.9) 2-16 518 A East Longmeadow MA West ( 2- 9, 74.8) 14- 6 520 A Wellesley HS MA South (17- 2, 97.9) 6-13 523 A Agawam MA West ( 9- 9, 84.0) 15- 6 526 H Northampton MA West ( 8- 4, 89.0) 8- 8 530 H Longmeadow MA West (20- 2, 96.9) 6-13 601 H Westfield, MA MA West ( 3- 6, 78.6) 605 H West Springfield, MA MA Indep ( 7- 8, 83.1) 16- 5 607 N Northampton MA West ( 8- 4, 89.0) 8- 6 611 N Longmeadow MA West (20- 2, 96.9) 5-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A South Hadley 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.81 406 H Conard 11- 5 6 7 n/a 411 A Amherst-Pelham 11- 5 6 9 - -3.07 413 H Cathedral, MA 11- 3 8 22 - -2.00 418 H West Springfield, MA 15- 8 7 7 -0.55 425 H East Longmeadow 12- 5 7 15 - -3.00 427 A Wilbraham & Monson 15- 5 10 16 n/a 429 H Williston Northampton 10- 8 2 2 n/a 504 H Agawam 15-11 4 6 - -2.62 509 A Longmeadow 2-16 -14 -8 -1.93 518 A East Longmeadow 14- 6 8 14 - -2.00 520 A Wellesley HS 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.09 523 A Agawam 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.21 526 H Northampton 8- 8 0 1 -1.57 530 H Longmeadow 6-13 -7 -6 -0.76 605 H West Springfield, MA 16- 5 11 7 + 2.45 607 N Northampton 8- 6 2 0 1.35 611 N Longmeadow 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Amherst-Pelham 11- 5 6 9 - -3.07 413 H Cathedral, MA 11- 3 8 22 - -2.00 425 H East Longmeadow 12- 5 7 15 - -3.00 504 H Agawam 15-11 4 6 - -2.62 518 A East Longmeadow 14- 6 8 14 - -2.00 611 N Longmeadow 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A South Hadley 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.81 523 A Agawam 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.21 520 A Wellesley HS 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.09 605 H West Springfield, MA 16- 5 11 7 + 2.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.70 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 67.95 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0