Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6184082    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)    13- 7   
 406 H Conard                 CT Div 1      ( 7- 9, 83.0)    11- 5   
 411 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 4- 9, 79.7)    11- 5   
 413 H Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0-15, 68.0)    11- 3   
 418 H West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 7- 8, 83.1)    15- 8   
 425 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 2- 9, 74.8)    12- 5   
 427 A Wilbraham & Monson     NE            ( 3- 5, 72.7)    15- 5   
 429 H Williston Northampton  NE            ( 6- 5, 88.4)    10- 8   
 504 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 9- 9, 84.0)    15-11   
 509 A Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 2, 96.9)     2-16   
 518 A East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 2- 9, 74.8)    14- 6   
 520 A Wellesley HS           MA South      (17- 2, 97.9)     6-13   
 523 A Agawam                 MA West       ( 9- 9, 84.0)    15- 6   
 526 H Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)     8- 8   
 530 H Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 2, 96.9)     6-13   
 601 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 3- 6, 78.6)   
 605 H West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 7- 8, 83.1)    16- 5   
 607 N Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)     8- 6   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 2, 96.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A South Hadley           13- 7       6     0    ++     5.81
   406 H Conard                 11- 5       6     7          n/a  
   411 A Amherst-Pelham         11- 5       6     9    -     -3.07
   413 H Cathedral, MA          11- 3       8    22    -     -2.00
   418 H West Springfield, MA   15- 8       7     7          -0.55
   425 H East Longmeadow        12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   427 A Wilbraham & Monson     15- 5      10    16          n/a  
   429 H Williston Northampton  10- 8       2     2          n/a  
   504 H Agawam                 15-11       4     6    -     -2.62
   509 A Longmeadow              2-16     -14    -8          -1.93
   518 A East Longmeadow        14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   520 A Wellesley HS            6-13      -7    -9    +      2.09
   523 A Agawam                 15- 6       9     4    ++     4.21
   526 H Northampton             8- 8       0     1          -1.57
   530 H Longmeadow              6-13      -7    -6          -0.76
   605 H West Springfield, MA   16- 5      11     7    +      2.45
   607 N Northampton             8- 6       2     0           1.35
   611 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Amherst-Pelham         11- 5       6     9    -     -3.07
   413 H Cathedral, MA          11- 3       8    22    -     -2.00
   425 H East Longmeadow        12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   504 H Agawam                 15-11       4     6    -     -2.62
   518 A East Longmeadow        14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   611 N Longmeadow              5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A South Hadley           13- 7       6     0    ++     5.81
   523 A Agawam                 15- 6       9     4    ++     4.21
   520 A Wellesley HS            6-13      -7    -9    +      2.09
   605 H West Springfield, MA   16- 5      11     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.70 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.95 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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