Region = MA St/No               
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Alan McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6612396    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Salem, MA              MA St/No      ( 1- 3, 75.8)    16- 6   
 407 H Newburyport            MA St/No      ( 4- 5, 79.3)    12- 7   
 411 A Waltham                MA St/No      ( 6- 8, 78.7)    13- 7   
 418 A Peabody Veterans Mem.  MA St/No      (13- 3, 86.6)    11- 9   
 420 A Milton, MA             MA South      ( 6-10, 80.3)     9- 4   
 421 H Andover, MA            MA St/No      (18- 3, 93.2)     9-13   
 425 H Beverly                MA St/No      ( 7- 9, 76.4)    14- 3   
 427 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA St/No      ( 8- 3, 81.2)    10- 5   
 428 A Acton-Boxborough       MA St/No      (16- 3, 92.6)    11-15   
 502 A Danvers                MA St/No      ( 1- 5, 68.3)    19- 4   
 504 H Pentucket              MA St/No      ( 0- 2, 73.7)    16-13   
 505 H Wakefield, MA          MA St/No      ( 4- 8, 77.7)    14- 9   
 509 A Ipswich                MA St/No      ( 9- 7, 83.4)    14-12   
 511 H North Andover          MA St/No      ( 3- 7, 80.2)    13-11   
 518 H Ipswich                MA St/No      ( 9- 7, 83.4)    16-15   
 523 A North Andover          MA St/No      ( 3- 7, 80.2)    11- 8   
 525 A Concord-Carlisle       MA St/No      ( 3-14, 77.5)    16-10   
 530 H Waltham                MA St/No      ( 6- 8, 78.7)    16- 7   
 601 A Lexington HS           MA St/No      (17- 3, 88.4)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Salem, MA              16- 6      10    12           0.00
   407 H Newburyport            12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   411 A Waltham                13- 7       6     9    -     -3.42
   418 A Peabody Veterans Mem.  11- 9       2     1           0.51
   420 A Milton, MA              9- 4       5     7    -     -2.86
   421 H Andover, MA             9-13      -4    -3          -0.75
   425 H Beverly                14- 3      11    13           0.00
   427 H Hamilton-Wenham        10- 5       5     8    -     -3.76
   428 A Acton-Boxborough       11-15      -4    -4           0.52
   502 A Danvers                19- 4      15    19           0.00
   504 H Pentucket              16-13       3    16    ---   -7.00
   505 H Wakefield, MA          14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   509 A Ipswich                14-12       2     4    -     -2.66
   511 H North Andover          13-11       2     9    ---   -7.75
   518 H Ipswich                16-15       1     6    --    -5.49
   523 A North Andover          11- 8       3     7    --    -4.92
   525 A Concord-Carlisle       16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   530 H Waltham                16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   601 A Lexington HS           13-14      -1     0          -0.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Pentucket              16-13       3    16    ---   -7.00
   511 H North Andover          13-11       2     9    ---   -7.75
   407 H Newburyport            12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   505 H Wakefield, MA          14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   518 H Ipswich                16-15       1     6    --    -5.49
   523 A North Andover          11- 8       3     7    --    -4.92
   525 A Concord-Carlisle       16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   411 A Waltham                13- 7       6     9    -     -3.42
   420 A Milton, MA              9- 4       5     7    -     -2.86
   427 H Hamilton-Wenham        10- 5       5     8    -     -3.76
   509 A Ipswich                14-12       2     4    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.03 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.33 Local SOS Rank.............    68
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/