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Region = MA West Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Kathy ParkerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.6786499 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Cathedral, MA MA West ( 0-15, 68.0) 10- 1 406 H East Longmeadow MA West ( 2- 9, 74.8) 10- 0 407 H Amherst-Pelham MA West ( 4- 9, 79.7) 11- 1 411 A West Springfield, MA MA Indep ( 7- 8, 83.1) 12- 4 412 H Conard CT Div 1 ( 7- 9, 83.0) 8- 0 418 H Westfield, MA MA West ( 3- 6, 78.6) 9- 0 425 A Agawam MA West ( 9- 9, 84.0) 11- 2 426 H Simsbury CT Div 1 ( 4- 9, 81.4) 14- 5 429 A Pinkerton Academy NH D1 (15- 4, 95.4) 11- 7 502 A East Longmeadow MA West ( 2- 9, 74.8) 9- 1 505 H Northampton MA West ( 8- 4, 89.0) 13- 3 509 H Minnechaug MA West (13- 4, 89.7) 16- 2 517 A Hotchkiss School NE (11- 2, 99.9) 6-15 519 H Agawam MA West ( 9- 9, 84.0) 15- 3 522 H South Windsor CT Div 1 (11- 7, 91.5) 8- 7 523 A Northampton MA West ( 8- 4, 89.0) 12- 3 525 H South Hadley MA West (13- 5, 88.6) 16- 3 530 A Minnechaug MA West (13- 4, 89.7) 13- 6 607 N South Hadley MA West (13- 5, 88.6) 15- 6 611 N Minnechaug MA West (13- 4, 89.7) 15- 5 613 A Westborough MA Centrl (18- 3, 90.9) 12- 4 616 N Framingham MA St/No (25- 0, 99.9) 12-13 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Cathedral, MA 10- 1 9 27 -1.00 406 H East Longmeadow 10- 0 10 23 0.00 407 H Amherst-Pelham 11- 1 10 18 0.00 411 A West Springfield, MA 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 412 H Conard 8- 0 8 14 n/a 418 H Westfield, MA 9- 0 9 19 -1.00 425 A Agawam 11- 2 9 11 -1.00 426 H Simsbury 14- 5 9 16 n/a 429 A Pinkerton Academy 11- 7 4 0 n/a 502 A East Longmeadow 9- 1 8 21 - -2.00 505 H Northampton 13- 3 10 8 1.28 509 H Minnechaug 16- 2 14 8 1.93 517 A Hotchkiss School 6-15 -9 -3 n/a 519 H Agawam 15- 3 12 13 0.00 522 H South Windsor 8- 7 1 6 n/a 523 A Northampton 12- 3 9 6 + 2.11 525 H South Hadley 16- 3 13 9 0.83 530 A Minnechaug 13- 6 7 6 0.76 607 N South Hadley 15- 6 9 8 0.74 611 N Minnechaug 15- 5 10 7 + 2.85 613 A Westborough 12- 4 8 5 + 2.96 616 N Framingham 12-13 o -1 -3 + 2.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A Hotchkiss School 6-15 -9 -3 -- 522 H South Windsor 8- 7 1 6 -- 411 A West Springfield, MA 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 412 H Conard 8- 0 8 14 - 502 A East Longmeadow 9- 1 8 21 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Pinkerton Academy 11- 7 4 0 + 523 A Northampton 12- 3 9 6 + 2.11 611 N Minnechaug 15- 5 10 7 + 2.85 613 A Westborough 12- 4 8 5 + 2.96 616 N Framingham 12-13 o -1 -3 + 2.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.85 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 69.73 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 18.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7