Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Kathy Parker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.6786499    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0-15, 68.0)    10- 1   
 406 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 2- 9, 74.8)    10- 0   
 407 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 4- 9, 79.7)    11- 1   
 411 A West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 7- 8, 83.1)    12- 4   
 412 H Conard                 CT Div 1      ( 7- 9, 83.0)     8- 0   
 418 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 3- 6, 78.6)     9- 0   
 425 A Agawam                 MA West       ( 9- 9, 84.0)    11- 2   
 426 H Simsbury               CT Div 1      ( 4- 9, 81.4)    14- 5   
 429 A Pinkerton Academy      NH D1         (15- 4, 95.4)    11- 7   
 502 A East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 2- 9, 74.8)     9- 1   
 505 H Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)    13- 3   
 509 H Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 89.7)    16- 2   
 517 A Hotchkiss School       NE            (11- 2, 99.9)     6-15   
 519 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 9- 9, 84.0)    15- 3   
 522 H South Windsor          CT Div 1      (11- 7, 91.5)     8- 7   
 523 A Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)    12- 3   
 525 H South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)    16- 3   
 530 A Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 89.7)    13- 6   
 607 N South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)    15- 6   
 611 N Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 89.7)    15- 5   
 613 A Westborough            MA Centrl     (18- 3, 90.9)    12- 4   
 616 N Framingham             MA St/No      (25- 0, 99.9)    12-13  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Cathedral, MA          10- 1       9    27          -1.00
   406 H East Longmeadow        10- 0      10    23           0.00
   407 H Amherst-Pelham         11- 1      10    18           0.00
   411 A West Springfield, MA   12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   412 H Conard                  8- 0       8    14          n/a  
   418 H Westfield, MA           9- 0       9    19          -1.00
   425 A Agawam                 11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   426 H Simsbury               14- 5       9    16          n/a  
   429 A Pinkerton Academy      11- 7       4     0          n/a  
   502 A East Longmeadow         9- 1       8    21    -     -2.00
   505 H Northampton            13- 3      10     8           1.28
   509 H Minnechaug             16- 2      14     8           1.93
   517 A Hotchkiss School        6-15      -9    -3          n/a  
   519 H Agawam                 15- 3      12    13           0.00
   522 H South Windsor           8- 7       1     6          n/a  
   523 A Northampton            12- 3       9     6    +      2.11
   525 H South Hadley           16- 3      13     9           0.83
   530 A Minnechaug             13- 6       7     6           0.76
   607 N South Hadley           15- 6       9     8           0.74
   611 N Minnechaug             15- 5      10     7    +      2.85
   613 A Westborough            12- 4       8     5    +      2.96
   616 N Framingham             12-13  o   -1    -3    +      2.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Hotchkiss School        6-15      -9    -3    --         
   522 H South Windsor           8- 7       1     6    --         
   411 A West Springfield, MA   12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   412 H Conard                  8- 0       8    14    -          
   502 A East Longmeadow         9- 1       8    21    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Pinkerton Academy      11- 7       4     0    +          
   523 A Northampton            12- 3       9     6    +      2.11
   611 N Minnechaug             15- 5      10     7    +      2.85
   613 A Westborough            12- 4       8     5    +      2.96
   616 N Framingham             12-13  o   -1    -3    +      2.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.85 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.73 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   18.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/