Region = CT Div 1               
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Cori Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0355072    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Bethel                 CT Div 2      ( 3-12, 64.8)    11- 1   
 411 A Newtown                CT Div 1      (17- 2, 90.0)     8-10  o
 413 A Lauralton Hall         CT Div 2      (10- 7, 75.6)    13- 4   
 415 H Danbury                CT Div 2      (10- 9, 81.8)     9- 8   
 418 H Branford               CT Div 1      (10- 9, 87.0)     7- 9   
 421 H Daniel Hand            CT Div 1      (14- 6, 89.0)     9-11   
 425 H Brookfield             CT Div 2      (15- 5, 86.4)    14- 9   
 427 H Pomperaug              CT Div 2      (11- 7, 74.7)    22-10   
 501 A Notre Dame Catholic    CT Div 2      ( 4-12, 66.7)    14- 3   
 505 H Masuk                  CT Div 1      ( 5-10, 74.2)    12- 5   
 509 A New Milford            CT Div 2      ( 8-10, 74.7)    14- 9   
 511 H Immaculate             CT Div 2      ( 1-15, 62.8)    19- 2   
 513 A Ridgefield             CT Div 2      ( 9- 7, 83.1)     8-11   
 518 A Weston, CT             CT Div 2      ( 3-13, 65.3)    18- 4   
 519 H New Fairfield          CT Div 1      (13- 4, 87.3)     9-10   
 522 A Avon                   CT Div 1      (16- 4, 88.5)     9-18   
 525 A Newtown                CT Div 1      (17- 2, 90.0)     8-14   
 605 A Glastonbury            CT Div 1      (16- 2, 93.4)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Bethel                 11- 1      10    18           0.00
   411 A Newtown                 8-10  o   -2    -7    ++     5.67
   413 A Lauralton Hall         13- 4       9     6    +      2.26
   415 H Danbury                 9- 8       1     1          -0.86
   418 H Branford                7- 9      -2    -3           1.32
   421 H Daniel Hand             9-11      -2    -5    +      3.29
   425 H Brookfield             14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.69
   427 H Pomperaug              22-10      12     8           1.01
   501 A Notre Dame Catholic    14- 3      11    15           0.00
   505 H Masuk                  12- 5       7     9    -     -2.47
   509 A New Milford            14- 9       5     7    -     -2.71
   511 H Immaculate             19- 2      17    20           0.00
   513 A Ridgefield              8-11      -3     0    -     -2.32
   518 A Weston, CT             18- 4      14    17           0.00
   519 H New Fairfield           9-10      -1    -3    +      2.59
   522 A Avon                    9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.85
   525 A Newtown                 8-14      -6    -7           1.67
   605 A Glastonbury             7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Masuk                  12- 5       7     9    -     -2.47
   509 A New Milford            14- 9       5     7    -     -2.71
   513 A Ridgefield              8-11      -3     0    -     -2.32
   522 A Avon                    9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Brookfield             14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.69
   411 A Newtown                 8-10  o   -2    -7    ++     5.67
   605 A Glastonbury             7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   413 A Lauralton Hall         13- 4       9     6    +      2.26
   421 H Daniel Hand             9-11      -2    -5    +      3.29
   519 H New Fairfield           9-10      -1    -3    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.02 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.36 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/