Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7205505    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (13- 5, 81.4)    15- 6   
 329 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.2)    14- 3   
 331 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 81.3)     7- 6  o
 403 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 87.7)    12-14   
 405 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 65.8)    18- 1   
 410 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)    13-10   
 413 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 82.4)    12- 8   
 415 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (16- 3, 91.2)    10-11   
 418 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-15   
 420 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 3- 9, 68.7)    18- 4   
 425 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 87.7)     9-10   
 428 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 72.2)    14-13   
 502 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.8)     8-17   
 509 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (16- 3, 91.2)     9-13   
 511 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)    14-11   
 516 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 96.3)     4-15   
 520 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 72.2)    10- 3   
 526 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (16- 3, 91.2)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Watertown, NY          15- 6       9     2    +++    6.40
   329 H East Syracuse-Minoa    14- 3      11     9           0.19
   331 H Jordan-Elbridge         7- 6  o    1     2          -1.74
   403 A Liverpool              12-14      -2    -5    +      3.17
   405 H Rome Free Academy      18- 1      17    18           0.00
   410 H Auburn                 13-10       3     6    -     -3.43
   413 A Cicero-North Syracuse  12- 8       4     0    +      3.85
   415 A Corcoran-Fowler        10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.72
   418 H West Genesee            4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   420 A Central Square         18- 4      14    13           0.00
   425 H Liverpool               9-10      -1    -3    +      2.66
   428 A Oswego                 14-13       1    10    ---   -9.00
   502 H Baldwinsville           8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.20
   509 H Corcoran-Fowler         9-13      -4    -7    +      3.20
   511 A Auburn                 14-11       3     4          -1.92
   516 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   520 H Oswego                 10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   526 A Corcoran-Fowler         8-15      -7    -8           1.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Oswego                 14-13       1    10    ---   -9.00
   502 H Baldwinsville           8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.20
   410 H Auburn                 13-10       3     6    -     -3.43
   520 H Oswego                 10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Watertown, NY          15- 6       9     2    +++    6.40
   415 A Corcoran-Fowler        10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.72
   403 A Liverpool              12-14      -2    -5    +      3.17
   413 A Cicero-North Syracuse  12- 8       4     0    +      3.85
   425 H Liverpool               9-10      -1    -3    +      2.66
   509 H Corcoran-Fowler         9-13      -4    -7    +      3.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.28 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.52 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/