Hayfield                      3 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA Pat                 
   Nickname = A Hawks                Coach  =   Mary Beth Butler      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   80.3435287    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Mt. Vernon             VA Natl       ( 5- 7, 78.8)     5-10   
 316 A Thomas Alva Edison     VA Natl       ( 1- 8, 74.3)   
 320 H Yorktown, VA           VA Natl       (16- 4, 91.0)     7-15   
 324 A George C. Marshall     VA Lbrty      ( 1- 9, 72.2)    11- 9   
 328 H South County           VA Pat        ( 7- 7, 78.7)     6- 4   
 405 A Annandale              VA Pat        (13- 6, 86.5)     3-14   
 418 H West Potomac           VA Pat        ( 1-13, 70.5)    12-13 3o
 421 A Lake Braddock          VA Pat        (14- 2, 93.7)     1-14   
 425 A T.C. Williams          VA Pat        ( 4- 7, 78.1)    10- 8   
 427 H Robert E. Lee          VA Pat        ( 1- 8, 75.5)   
 501 H West Springfield, VA   VA Pat        (10- 4, 88.1)     4-14   
 508 A South County           VA Pat        ( 7- 7, 78.7)     3-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Mt. Vernon              5-10      -5    -4          -0.08
   320 H Yorktown, VA            7-15      -8   -14    +      2.00
   324 A George C. Marshall     11- 9       2     1           0.28
   328 H South County            6- 4       2    -2    ++     4.37
   405 A Annandale               3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   418 H West Potomac           12-13 3o   -1     5    ---   -6.79
   421 A Lake Braddock           1-14     -13   -19           0.00
   425 A T.C. Williams          10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.14
   501 H West Springfield, VA    4-14     -10   -11           0.00
   508 A South County            3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.26


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H West Potomac           12-13 3o   -1     5    ---   -6.79
   508 A South County            3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.26


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A T.C. Williams          10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.14
   328 H South County            6- 4       2    -2    ++     4.37
   320 H Yorktown, VA            7-15      -8   -14    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.10 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.11 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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