Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Flying Dutchme       Coach  =   Gary Chatnik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3473511    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 N Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 74.4)    25- 3   
 331 N Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.8)    18- 6   
 403 A Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.2)     7- 5   
 406 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (19- 3, 99.9)    12-11   
 411 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 86.6)    11- 3   
 413 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 92.4)    12- 8   
 415 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 96.3)     9-15   
 419 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-10, 76.5)    15- 2   
 421 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 87.9)    16-11   
 422 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 87.7)    14-16   
 425 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.2)    10- 8   
 427 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)    19- 5   
 429 H Mt. Anthony Union      VT DI         ( 8-10, 88.8)    20- 1   
 502 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (19- 3, 99.9)     8-10   
 504 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 92.4)     8- 9   
 506 H Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 77.6)    21- 2   
 508 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 63.7)    18- 2   
 512 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 87.9)    14-13   
 517 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)    22- 5   
 519 N Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 92.4)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 N Queensbury             25- 3      22    20           0.00
   331 N Baldwinsville          18- 6      12     7          n/a  
   403 A Saratoga Springs        7- 5       2     4    -     -2.25
   406 H Bethlehem              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.37
   411 A Niskayuna              11- 3       8     7           0.20
   413 A Shenendehowa           12- 8       4     2           1.99
   415 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-15      -6    -2          n/a  
   419 H Colonie                15- 2      13    19           0.00
   421 H Shaker                 16-11       5     7    -     -2.59
   422 A Liverpool              14-16      -2     6          n/a  
   425 H Saratoga Springs       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.35
   427 A Columbia, NY           19- 5      14    15           0.00
   429 H Mt. Anthony Union      20- 1      19     7          n/a  
   502 A Bethlehem               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.47
   504 H Shenendehowa            8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.11
   506 H Averill Park           21- 2      19    17           0.00
   508 A Ballston Spa           18- 2      16    30           0.00
   512 A Shaker                 14-13       1     6    --    -5.49
   517 H Columbia, NY           22- 5      17    17           0.00
   519 N Shenendehowa           11-15      -4     2    ---   -6.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Liverpool              14-16      -2     6    ---        
   519 N Shenendehowa           11-15      -4     2    ---   -6.56
   504 H Shenendehowa            8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.11
   512 A Shaker                 14-13       1     6    --    -5.49
   403 A Saratoga Springs        7- 5       2     4    -     -2.25
   415 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-15      -6    -2    -          
   421 H Shaker                 16-11       5     7    -     -2.59
   425 H Saratoga Springs       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Bethlehem              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.37
   331 N Baldwinsville          18- 6      12     7    +          
   429 H Mt. Anthony Union      20- 1      19     7    +          
   502 A Bethlehem               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.98 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.92 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   20.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.255.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/