Region = DC WCAC                
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Michael Haight        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.2054214    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Bullis School          DC ISL A      ( 7-10, 79.6)    14-10   
 325 A Penn Charter           PA IAC        ( 7- 8, 86.4)    17- 5   
 327 H Seton Keough           MD IAAM A     (10- 9, 90.6)     6- 8   
 330 H Elizabeth Seton        DC WCAC       (13- 6, 78.6)    17- 0   
 401 H Hill School            PA Indep      (12- 4, 93.2)    13- 7   
 404 A Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       (12- 6, 82.5)    16- 5   
 406 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC WCAC       ( 7-13, 75.2)    19- 2   
 410 A Bishop Ireton          DC WCAC       (11-11, 80.9)     9- 8   
 412 H Stone Ridge CDS        DC ISL A      (16- 3, 90.4)     8-11   
 419 A Upper Arlington        OH SC-D1      (14- 3, 98.1)    16-11   
 421 A Loyola Academy, IL     IL North      (21- 7, 99.0)    12- 8   
 422 N Hinsdale Central       IL West       (18- 5, 98.0)     6- 6   
 422 N Lake Forest            IL North      (19- 6, 99.9)     6- 5   
 422 A New Trier              IL Cntrl      (21- 6, 99.5)     6- 5   
 422 N Shady Side Academy     PA WP D2      (11-10, 90.3)    15- 1   
 425 A Holy Cross, MD         DC WCAC       ( 4-11, 75.7)    19- 4   
 427 A National Cathedral, DC DC ISL A      ( 2-12, 77.3)    10- 8   
 429 A Urbana                 MD 3A         ( 9- 8, 77.8)    10- 4   
 502 H St. John's College, DC DC WCAC       ( 8- 7, 78.1)    14- 2   
 504 A St. Mary's Ryken       DC WCAC       ( 1-11, 67.8)    16- 2   
 505 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC ISL A      (17- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 512 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC WCAC       ( 1-11, 67.8)    12- 5   
 515 H Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       (12- 6, 82.5)    17- 9   
 517 N Bishop Ireton          DC WCAC       (11-11, 80.9)    16- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Bullis School          14-10       4    12    ---   -6.00
   325 A Penn Charter           17- 5      12     5          n/a  
   327 H Seton Keough            6- 8      -2     3          n/a  
   330 H Elizabeth Seton        17- 0      17    16           0.00
   401 H Hill School            13- 7       6     1          n/a  
   404 A Bishop O'Connell       16- 5      11     9           0.76
   406 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   19- 2      17    19           0.00
   410 A Bishop Ireton           9- 8       1    10    ---   -9.00
   412 H Stone Ridge CDS         8-11      -3     4    ---   -7.38
   419 A Upper Arlington        16-11       5    -6          n/a  
   421 A Loyola Academy, IL     12- 8       4    -7          n/a  
   422 N Hinsdale Central        6- 6       0    -4          n/a  
   422 N Lake Forest             6- 5       1    -6          n/a  
   422 A New Trier               6- 5       1    -7          n/a  
   422 N Shady Side Academy     15- 1      14     2          n/a  
   425 A Holy Cross, MD         19- 4      15    16           0.00
   427 A National Cathedral, DC 10- 8       2    14    ---   -8.00
   429 A Urbana                 10- 4       6    14          n/a  
   502 H St. John's College, DC 14- 2      12    16           0.00
   504 A St. Mary's Ryken       16- 2      14    23           0.00
   505 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.92
   512 H St. Mary's Ryken       12- 5       7    27    -     -3.00
   515 H Bishop O'Connell       17- 9       8    12    -     -2.00
   517 N Bishop Ireton          16- 6      10    12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Bullis School          14-10       4    12    ---   -6.00
   410 A Bishop Ireton           9- 8       1    10    ---   -9.00
   412 H Stone Ridge CDS         8-11      -3     4    ---   -7.38
   427 A National Cathedral, DC 10- 8       2    14    ---   -8.00
   327 H Seton Keough            6- 8      -2     3    --         
   429 A Urbana                 10- 4       6    14    --         
   505 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.92
   512 H St. Mary's Ryken       12- 5       7    27    -     -3.00
   515 H Bishop O'Connell       17- 9       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Upper Arlington        16-11       5    -6    +++        
   421 A Loyola Academy, IL     12- 8       4    -7    +++        
   422 N Lake Forest             6- 5       1    -6    +++        
   422 A New Trier               6- 5       1    -7    +++        
   422 N Shady Side Academy     15- 1      14     2    +++        
   325 A Penn Charter           17- 5      12     5    ++         
   401 H Hill School            13- 7       6     1    ++         
   422 N Hinsdale Central        6- 6       0    -4    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.28 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.16 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/