Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.3168030    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.0)     9-10   
 405 N Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 65.3)    15- 1   
 412 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 78.4)     7- 6   
 420 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.6)    15- 7   
 424 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.0)     8- 0   
 426 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 90.4)     3- 9   
 428 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.2)    10- 5   
 501 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 92.1)     5-15   
 503 H Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 77.2)     9- 4   
 504 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 65.3)    13- 4   
 508 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 78.4)     7-10   
 510 H Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.0)    12- 4   
 512 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 90.4)     3- 8   
 515 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.2)    13- 8   
 517 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 92.1)     4-13   
 519 A Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 77.2)     8- 6   
 522 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 65.3)    10- 1   
 524 A Canandaigua Academy    NY A  Sec 5   (12- 8, 84.5)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Irondequoit             9-10      -1     1    -     -2.66
   405 N Churchville-Chili      15- 1      14    15           0.00
   412 A Gates-Chili             7- 6       1     2          -1.29
   420 H Spencerport            15- 7       8     8          -0.36
   424 A Brockport               8- 0       8    12    -     -2.00
   426 H Rush-Henrietta          3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.45
   428 A Webster Schroeder      10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   501 H Penfield                5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   503 H Pittsford-Mendon        9- 4       5     4           0.25
   504 A Churchville-Chili      13- 4       9    15          -1.00
   508 H Gates-Chili             7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.56
   510 H Brockport              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   512 A Rush-Henrietta          3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   515 H Webster Schroeder      13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   517 A Penfield                4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   519 A Pittsford-Mendon        8- 6       2     3          -1.47
   522 H Churchville-Chili      10- 1       9    16          -1.00
   524 A Canandaigua Academy     4- 7      -3    -3           0.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Gates-Chili             7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.56
   428 A Webster Schroeder      10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   515 H Webster Schroeder      13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   330 A Irondequoit             9-10      -1     1    -     -2.66
   424 A Brockport               8- 0       8    12    -     -2.00
   510 H Brockport              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Rush-Henrietta          3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   426 H Rush-Henrietta          3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.30 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.43 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/