Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Chris Schutrum        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4186325    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 6, 89.4)     5- 4   
 404 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 82.7)    14- 2   
 406 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 9, 73.6)    12- 4   
 407 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (10- 5, 92.3)  5
 410 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 5, 94.0)     7- 6   
 411 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 76.6)    11- 3   
 412 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 79.9)    18- 3   
 425 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     6-17   
 427 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 77.4)    11- 2   
 428 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 80.7)     8- 2   
 429 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)    11- 5   
 502 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 80.7)    13- 8   
 504 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 79.9)    12- 5   
 505 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)    11-12   
 508 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.8)     8-14   
 509 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 77.4)    11- 4   
 511 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)    13- 8   
 512 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 80.7)   
 603 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (22- 2, 98.9)     5-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Williamsville North     5- 4       1     5    --    -4.83
   404 H Sweet Home             14- 2      12    12           0.00
   406 A Lake Shore             12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   410 A Orchard Park            7- 6       1    -1    +      2.37
   411 A West Seneca West       11- 3       8    16    -     -2.00
   412 A Grand Island           18- 3      15    12           0.00
   425 A Amherst                 6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.77
   427 H Williamsville South    11- 2       9    17          -1.00
   428 H Iroquois                8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   429 H Williamsville East     11- 5       6     3    +      2.29
   502 A Iroquois               13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   504 H Grand Island           12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   505 H Amherst                11-12      -1    -4    +      3.71
   508 A Clarence                8-14      -6     4    ---  -10.86
   509 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00
   511 A Williamsville East     13- 8       5     1    +      3.81
   603 A Penn Yan Academy        5-21     -16    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Clarence                8-14      -6     4    ---  -10.86
   329 H Williamsville North     5- 4       1     5    --    -4.83
   428 H Iroquois                8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   502 A Iroquois               13- 8       5    11    --    -5.00
   603 A Penn Yan Academy        5-21     -16    -5    --         
   406 A Lake Shore             12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   411 A West Seneca West       11- 3       8    16    -     -2.00
   425 A Amherst                 6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.77
   504 H Grand Island           12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   509 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Orchard Park            7- 6       1    -1    +      2.37
   429 H Williamsville East     11- 5       6     3    +      2.29
   505 H Amherst                11-12      -1    -4    +      3.71
   511 A Williamsville East     13- 8       5     1    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.93 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.83 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/