Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Don Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.8981781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.0)    12- 8   
 404 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 5- 9, 74.6)   
 406 N Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-17, 63.8)    13- 1   
 408 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.0)    10-12   
 410 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.6)     6-15   
 411 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     3-20   
 425 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11- 7, 85.4)     4-11   
 428 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-17, 63.8)    12- 2   
 501 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (13- 6, 91.3)     4-12   
 503 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 5- 9, 74.6)     6- 8   
 505 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.6)     4- 6   
 508 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     3-20   
 510 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.0)     5- 6   
 512 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11- 7, 85.4)     2-15   
 513 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 5, 91.3)     3-11   
 517 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (13- 6, 91.3)     3-16   
 518 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 5, 91.3)     4-13   
 523 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (15- 5, 87.0)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Brockport              12- 8       4     4          -0.60
   406 N Aquinas Institute, NY  13- 1      12     9           0.48
   408 H Irondequoit            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.09
   410 H Spencerport             6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.34
   411 H Brighton, NY            3-20     -17   -25           0.00
   425 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   428 A Aquinas Institute, NY  12- 2      10     8           1.12
   501 A East Rochester          4-12      -8   -18    +      2.00
   503 A Livonia                 6- 8      -2    -1          -0.01
   505 A Spencerport             4- 6      -2     0          -1.06
   508 A Brighton, NY            3-20     -17   -27           0.00
   510 A Irondequoit             5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.36
   512 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   513 A Webster Thomas          3-11      -8   -18    +      2.00
   517 H East Rochester          3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   518 H Webster Thomas          4-13      -9   -17           1.00
   523 A Victor                  7-17     -10   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Spencerport             6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Irondequoit             5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.36
   408 H Irondequoit            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.09
   425 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   501 A East Rochester          4-12      -8   -18    +      2.00
   513 A Webster Thomas          3-11      -8   -18    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.28 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.43 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/