Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Falcons                                               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7655334    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Stony Brook School     NY C  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 60.3)    17- 1   
 404 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 72.2)    16- 6   
 406 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.0)    21- 1   
 410 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.4)    11-13   
 412 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 75.5)    13- 8   
 418 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 89.3)    11-21   
 420 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 84.7)     6- 9   
 424 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.7)    15- 7   
 426 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 63.8)    19- 6   
 428 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 73.6)     5- 4   
 502 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.6)     4- 9   
 504 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 74.1)    12- 7   
 510 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 81.0)    11-15   
 512 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.7)    13-10   
 516 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 75.6)     9- 8   
 520 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 92.7)     4-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Stony Brook School     17- 1      16    22           0.00
   404 A Half Hollow Hills      16- 6      10     8           1.07
   406 A Brentwood, NY          21- 1      20    20           0.00
   410 H William Floyd          11-13      -2     1    -     -3.56
   412 A Middle Country         13- 8       5     5          -0.64
   418 H North Babylon          11-21     -10    -6    -     -3.73
   420 A Smithtown West          6- 9      -3    -3           0.56
   424 H Connetquot             15- 7       8     8          -0.26
   426 H Copiague               19- 6      13    19           0.00
   428 A Bellport                5- 4       1     7    ---   -6.46
   502 H Sachem East             4- 9      -5    -6           1.60
   504 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 7       5     7    -     -2.03
   510 A Longwood               11-15      -4     0    --    -4.07
   512 H Walt Whitman, NY       13-10       3     7    --    -4.33
   516 H Sachem North            9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.37
   520 A Ward Melville           4-20     -16   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Bellport                5- 4       1     7    ---   -6.46
   516 H Sachem North            9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.37
   510 A Longwood               11-15      -4     0    --    -4.07
   512 H Walt Whitman, NY       13-10       3     7    --    -4.33
   410 H William Floyd          11-13      -2     1    -     -3.56
   418 H North Babylon          11-21     -10    -6    -     -3.73
   504 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 7       5     7    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.04 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.74 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/