Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5092163    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 5, 94.0)     2- 9   
 405 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1- 7, 77.3)    12- 0   
 411 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 90.9)     6- 3   
 412 A North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 6, 71.8)    15- 2   
 424 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (10- 5, 92.3)     6-10   
 426 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 6, 89.4)     2- 4   
 428 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 5, 94.0)     6-11   
 501 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1- 7, 77.3)     6- 3   
 502 A Nichols School         NY Martin     ( 9- 9, 88.3)     5- 7   
 503 H North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 6, 71.8)    14- 0   
 505 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 90.9)     6-17   
 506 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 5, 91.3)     6-11   
 508 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.9)    14- 8   
 510 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (10- 5, 92.3)     4-10   
 512 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 6, 89.4)     6- 5   
 513 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.8)     2-17   
 515 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     8-14   
 518 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 90.9)     9- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Orchard Park            2- 9      -7    -7           0.50
   405 H Lockport               12- 0      12    11           0.00
   411 H Frontier                6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.84
   412 A North Tonawanda Club   15- 2      13    14           0.00
   424 H Lancaster               6-10      -4    -3          -0.71
   426 A Williamsville North     2- 4      -2    -2           0.82
   428 H Orchard Park            6-11      -5    -4          -0.02
   501 A Lockport                6- 3       3     9    ---   -6.26
   502 A Nichols School          5- 7      -2    -1          -0.21
   503 H North Tonawanda Club   14- 0      14    17           0.00
   505 A Frontier                6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.64
   506 A Webster Thomas          6-11      -5    -4          n/a  
   508 H East Aurora            14- 8       6    -4    +++   10.86
   510 A Lancaster               4-10      -6    -5          -0.19
   512 H Williamsville North     6- 5       1     0           1.29
   513 H Baldwinsville           2-17     -15     0          n/a  
   515 H Amherst                 8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   518 A Frontier                9- 7       2    -4    +++    6.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Lockport                6- 3       3     9    ---   -6.26
   513 H Baldwinsville           2-17     -15     0    ---        
   505 A Frontier                6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H East Aurora            14- 8       6    -4    +++   10.86
   518 A Frontier                9- 7       2    -4    +++    6.36
   411 H Frontier                6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.84
   515 H Amherst                 8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.80 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.65 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/