Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Chuck Banks           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7449341    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 9, 91.7)    10- 9 2o
 403 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 96.3)     8-12   
 405 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 72.2)    13- 5   
 407 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.8)     9-12   
 408 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   ( 6- 7, 84.3)    10- 9   
 410 A New Hyde Park Memorial NY B  Sec 8   ( 9- 4, 80.1)    10-10   
 412 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-18   
 413 H Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 83.3)     8-12   
 418 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 87.7)    15-14   
 421 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 65.8)    18- 3   
 425 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 72.2)    15- 5   
 427 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)    11- 7   
 501 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 96.3)     9-19   
 505 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (16- 3, 91.2)     8-11   
 506 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     7-17   
 511 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     5-15   
 516 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 87.7)    14-20   
 518 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.8)    15-16   
 525 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 96.3)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Horseheads             10- 9 2o    1    -8          n/a  
   403 H Fayetteville-Manlius    8-12      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   405 H Oswego                 13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   407 H Baldwinsville           9-12      -3    -4           1.71
   408 A Massapequa             10- 9       1    -3          n/a  
   410 A New Hyde Park Memorial 10-10       0     1          n/a  
   412 H West Genesee            4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   413 H Henninger-Nottingham    8-12      -4     0    -     -3.85
   418 A Liverpool              15-14       1    -6    +++    7.07
   421 H Rome Free Academy      18- 3      15    17           0.00
   425 A Oswego                 15- 5      10     9           0.59
   427 H Auburn                 11- 7       4     5          -1.53
   501 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-19     -10   -14           0.00
   505 A Corcoran-Fowler         8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.62
   506 A Brighton, NY            7-17     -10   -18          n/a  
   511 A West Genesee            5-15     -10   -18           0.00
   516 H Liverpool              14-20      -6    -4          -1.44
   518 A Baldwinsville          15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.22
   525 A Fayetteville-Manlius    2-19     -17   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Oswego                 13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   413 H Henninger-Nottingham    8-12      -4     0    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Horseheads             10- 9 2o    1    -8    +++        
   403 H Fayetteville-Manlius    8-12      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   418 A Liverpool              15-14       1    -6    +++    7.07
   505 A Corcoran-Fowler         8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.62
   408 A Massapequa             10- 9       1    -3    ++         
   518 A Baldwinsville          15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.38 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.84 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/