Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Jen Melhuish          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1087494    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 4- 4, 84.3)     6- 7   
 323 A George Mason           VA NW AA      ( 3- 6, 75.4)    11- 3   
 329 A Fairfax                VA Cncrd      ( 4- 7, 81.1)    10-14   
 330 H Freedom-South Riding   VA NW AA      ( 3- 8, 68.4)    11- 2   
 406 A Loudoun Valley         VA Natl       (19- 4, 93.0)     5-10   
 410 H Liberty-Bealton, VA    VA NW AA      ( 2- 6, 70.7)    13- 3   
 418 A Stone Bridge           VA Lbrty      ( 8- 7, 84.0)     5-10   
 420 A Briar Woods            VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 64.0)    19- 4   
 424 H Heritage               VA NW AA      ( 5- 5, 77.1)    15- 8   
 427 H Dominion               VA NW AA      (12- 5, 83.6)    10- 6   
 501 A Potomac Falls          VA NW AA      ( 6- 8, 77.2)    15- 5   
 504 H Park View              VA NW AA      ( 0-13, 65.7)    18- 4   
 508 A Loudoun County         VA NW AA      ( 9- 6, 80.1)    15- 2   
 511 H Park View              VA NW AA      ( 0-13, 65.7)    10- 2   
 517 N George Mason           VA NW AA      ( 3- 6, 75.4)    14- 3   
 518 N Dominion               VA NW AA      (12- 5, 83.6)    11- 7   
 522 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 4- 4, 84.3)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Charlottesville         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.83
   323 A George Mason           11- 3       8     9          -1.36
   329 A Fairfax                10-14      -4     3    ---   -7.71
   330 H Freedom-South Riding   11- 2       9    18          -1.00
   406 A Loudoun Valley          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.17
   410 H Liberty-Bealton, VA    13- 3      10    16           0.00
   418 A Stone Bridge            5-10      -5     0    --    -5.79
   420 A Briar Woods            19- 4      15    20           0.00
   424 H Heritage               15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   427 H Dominion               10- 6       4     3           0.42
   501 A Potomac Falls          15- 5      10     7    +      2.37
   504 H Park View              18- 4      14    21           0.00
   508 A Loudoun County         15- 2      13     4    ++     5.28
   511 H Park View              10- 2       8    21    -     -2.00
   517 N George Mason           14- 3      11    10           0.00
   518 N Dominion               11- 7       4     2           1.60
   522 H Charlottesville        11-12      -1     2    -     -3.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Fairfax                10-14      -4     3    ---   -7.71
   418 A Stone Bridge            5-10      -5     0    --    -5.79
   318 H Charlottesville         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.83
   424 H Heritage               15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   511 H Park View              10- 2       8    21    -     -2.00
   522 H Charlottesville        11-12      -1     2    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Loudoun County         15- 2      13     4    ++     5.28
   406 A Loudoun Valley          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.17
   501 A Potomac Falls          15- 5      10     7    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.99 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.53 Local SOS Rank.............    68
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/