Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Scott Reynolds        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8290710    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 0- 7, 60.1)    17- 8   
 406 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 63.7)    18- 4   
 408 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 2- 8, 64.7)    14- 7   
 411 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 90.2)     1-13   
 413 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 74.4)    11- 3   
 417 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)     2- 9   
 419 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (19- 3, 99.9)     5-16   
 421 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-10, 76.5)    11-14   
 425 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 86.6)     6-15   
 427 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 92.4)     2-16   
 429 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 2- 8, 64.7)    10- 0   
 501 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 86.6)     8- 9   
 502 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-15, 63.7)    17- 6   
 506 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 95.0)     2-21   
 508 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 87.9)     4-17   
 509 A Holy Names Academy     NY B  Sec 2   ( 3- 4, 72.5)    16- 9   
 510 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 78.5)    13-12 2o
 516 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 74.4)     9- 6   
 518 A Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   (17- 4, 84.7)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Schenectady            17- 8       9    16          -1.00
   406 A Ballston Spa           18- 4      14    13           0.00
   408 H Emma Willard           14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   411 H Saratoga Springs        1-13     -12   -12           0.00
   413 H Queensbury             11- 3       8     3    ++     4.23
   417 H Columbia, NY            2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.67
   419 A Bethlehem               5-16     -11   -22           0.00
   421 A Colonie                11-14      -3     0    -     -3.56
   425 A Niskayuna               6-15      -9    -9           0.57
   427 H Shenendehowa            2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   429 A Emma Willard           10- 0      10    12           0.00
   501 H Niskayuna               8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.47
   502 H Ballston Spa           17- 6      11    14           0.00
   506 A Guilderland             2-21     -19   -17           0.00
   508 H Shaker                  4-17     -13    -9          -0.22
   509 A Holy Names Academy     16- 9       7     4    +      2.47
   510 A Columbia, NY           13-12 2o    1    -1    +      2.43
   516 H Queensbury              9- 6       3     3          -0.77
   518 A Glens Falls             8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Columbia, NY            2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.67
   408 H Emma Willard           14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   421 A Colonie                11-14      -3     0    -     -3.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Niskayuna               8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.47
   413 H Queensbury             11- 3       8     3    ++     4.23
   518 A Glens Falls             8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.66
   509 A Holy Names Academy     16- 9       7     4    +      2.47
   510 A Columbia, NY           13-12 2o    1    -1    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.61 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.17 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/