Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Warner          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2590027    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 7- 8, 83.1)    12- 9   
 411 A South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)     7-10   
 413 A Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 3- 6, 78.6)    10-18   
 417 H South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)    11-10   
 418 H Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0-15, 68.0)    14- 2   
 420 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 3- 6, 78.6)    11- 6   
 425 H Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 2, 96.9)     2-11   
 427 A West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 7- 8, 83.1)     8- 9   
 504 A Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 89.7)    11-15   
 508 A Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)     5- 9   
 509 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 4- 9, 79.7)    11-10   
 518 A Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0-15, 68.0)    19- 6   
 519 A Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 2, 96.9)     3-15   
 523 H Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 89.7)     6-15   
 525 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 4- 9, 79.7)    12- 7   
 530 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 2- 9, 74.8)    15- 2   
 601 H Northampton            MA West       ( 8- 4, 89.0)    11- 7   
 605 A South Hadley           MA West       (13- 5, 88.6)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A West Springfield, MA   12- 9       3     0    +      2.98
   411 A South Hadley            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.52
   413 A Westfield, MA          10-18      -8     4    ---  -12.48
   417 H South Hadley           11-10       1    -3    ++     4.69
   418 H Cathedral, MA          14- 2      12    16           0.00
   420 H Westfield, MA          11- 6       5     6          -1.31
   425 H Longmeadow              2-11      -9   -11           1.00
   427 A West Springfield, MA    8- 9      -1     0          -1.02
   504 A Minnechaug             11-15      -4    -6    +      2.62
   508 A Northampton             5- 9      -4    -5           1.97
   509 A Amherst-Pelham         11-10       1     3    -     -2.36
   518 A Cathedral, MA          19- 6      13    15           0.00
   519 A Longmeadow              3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   523 H Minnechaug              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.21
   525 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 7       5     5          -0.19
   530 H East Longmeadow        15- 2      13    10           0.00
   601 H Northampton            11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.14
   605 A South Hadley            9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Westfield, MA          10-18      -8     4    ---  -12.48
   523 H Minnechaug              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.21
   509 A Amherst-Pelham         11-10       1     3    -     -2.36
   605 A South Hadley            9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   601 H Northampton            11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.14
   417 H South Hadley           11-10       1    -3    ++     4.69
   404 A West Springfield, MA   12- 9       3     0    +      2.98
   411 A South Hadley            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.52
   504 A Minnechaug             11-15      -4    -6    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.00 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.65 Local SOS Rank.............    37
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    71
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/