Region = MA St/No               
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Karoly Baglio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4605255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Weston, MA             MA St/No      (15- 7, 87.5)    14- 7   
 406 A Bedford                MA St/No      ( 6-11, 78.4)    13- 3   
 410 H Newton South           MA South      ( 3-14, 75.4)    18- 7   
 412 A Wayland                MA St/No      (15- 5, 91.2)     8- 7   
 419 A Concord-Carlisle       MA St/No      ( 3-14, 77.5)    19- 8   
 421 H Westford Academy       MA St/No      (12-10, 84.4)    11- 7   
 425 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA St/No      (18- 3, 96.5)    12-11   
 427 A Weston, MA             MA St/No      (15- 7, 87.5)     8- 9   
 428 H Masconomet             MA St/No      (16- 3, 89.0)    15-11   
 501 A North Andover          MA St/No      ( 3- 7, 80.2)    10- 2   
 502 H Bedford                MA St/No      ( 6-11, 78.4)    14- 3   
 504 A Newton South           MA South      ( 3-14, 75.4)    18- 6   
 509 H Wayland                MA St/No      (15- 5, 91.2)    18-18   
 511 H Concord-Carlisle       MA St/No      ( 3-14, 77.5)    15-10   
 516 A Westford Academy       MA St/No      (12-10, 84.4)     9- 8   
 518 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA St/No      (18- 3, 96.5)     7-13   
 523 H Algonquin              MA Centrl     (12- 8, 87.2)    15-11   
 525 A Hingham                MA South      (11- 9, 85.2)    16- 9   
 530 H Chelmsford             MA Indep      (10- 7, 84.0)    10- 5   
 601 A Andover, MA            MA St/No      (18- 3, 93.2)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Weston, MA             14- 7       7     6           0.93
   406 A Bedford                13- 3      10    13           0.00
   410 H Newton South           18- 7      11    18           0.00
   412 A Wayland                 8- 7       1     0           0.47
   419 A Concord-Carlisle       19- 8      11    14           0.00
   421 H Westford Academy       11- 7       4     9    --    -5.17
   425 A Lincoln-Sudbury        12-11       1    -4    ++     5.81
   427 A Weston, MA              8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.24
   428 H Masconomet             15-11       4     4          -0.52
   501 A North Andover          10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   502 H Bedford                14- 3      11    15           0.00
   504 A Newton South           18- 6      12    16           0.00
   509 H Wayland                18-18       0     2    -     -2.36
   511 H Concord-Carlisle       15-10       5    16    --    -5.00
   516 A Westford Academy        9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.34
   518 H Lincoln-Sudbury         7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.02
   523 H Algonquin              15-11       4     6    -     -2.38
   525 A Hingham                16- 9       7     6           0.50
   530 H Chelmsford             10- 5       5     9    --    -4.57
   601 A Andover, MA             8-11      -3    -1          -1.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Westford Academy        9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.34
   421 H Westford Academy       11- 7       4     9    --    -5.17
   427 A Weston, MA              8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.24
   511 H Concord-Carlisle       15-10       5    16    --    -5.00
   530 H Chelmsford             10- 5       5     9    --    -4.57
   501 A North Andover          10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   509 H Wayland                18-18       0     2    -     -2.36
   518 H Lincoln-Sudbury         7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.02
   523 H Algonquin              15-11       4     6    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Lincoln-Sudbury        12-11       1    -4    ++     5.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.63 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.40 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/