Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Randy Ball            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3926544    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 87.6)     7- 8   
 409 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 9, 80.1)   
 411 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     5-17   
 416 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 4, 94.5)     3- 8   
 419 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     3-10   
 420 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 4, 97.2)     4-10   
 421 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.0)     7- 9 2o
 425 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 94.3)     2- 9   
 426 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 81.5)     8- 7   
 428 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 87.6)     4- 8   
 502 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 9, 80.1)   
 503 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     6-14   
 506 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 87.6)     7- 8  o
 507 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 4, 97.2)     2-11   
 509 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 4, 94.5)     7- 9   
 511 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 94.3)     5- 9   
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 81.5)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Grand Island            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.57
   411 H Amherst                 5-17     -12   -17           0.00
   416 H East Aurora             3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   419 A Sweet Home              3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.99
   420 A Hamburg                 4-10      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   421 H Clarence                7- 9 2o   -2    -7    ++     5.62
   425 H West Seneca East        2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   426 A Williamsville South     8- 7       1     0           0.50
   428 H Grand Island            4- 8      -4    -5           1.29
   503 A Amherst                 6-14      -8   -17    +      2.00
   506 A Grand Island            7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   507 H Hamburg                 2-11      -9   -14           1.00
   509 A East Aurora             7- 9      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   511 A West Seneca East        5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Sweet Home              3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A East Aurora             7- 9      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   511 A West Seneca East        5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   405 A Grand Island            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.57
   416 H East Aurora             3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   420 A Hamburg                 4-10      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   421 H Clarence                7- 9 2o   -2    -7    ++     5.62
   506 A Grand Island            7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   425 H West Seneca East        2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   503 A Amherst                 6-14      -8   -17    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.19 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.22 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/