Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Erin Blaney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0867996    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 67.0)    21- 6   
 406 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.3)    15- 7   
 408 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 85.4)    12-13  o
 414 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 83.8)    12- 5   
 416 A Yorktown, NY           NY A  Sec 1   (12- 3, 94.9)    13-18   
 418 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 95.9)     9-10   
 420 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 82.9)    19-13   
 422 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     7-12   
 426 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    18- 7   
 428 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)    20-14   
 430 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (10- 3, 96.3)   
 502 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.7)    15-10   
 504 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 75.8)    18-10   
 506 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 74.4)    16- 7   
 507 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (15- 2, 89.7)    12-13   
 510 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.5)    18-12   
 512 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.1)    16- 5   
 516 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.7)    13- 9   
 519 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 95.9)     9- 8   
 521 N Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)    14-15 3o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Patchogue-Medford      21- 6      15    23           0.00
   406 H Sachem East            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   408 A Commack                12-13  o   -1     4    --    -5.50
   414 A Smithtown              12- 5       7     6           0.88
   416 A Yorktown, NY           13-18      -5    -5          n/a  
   418 A Northport               9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.92
   420 H Lindenhurst            19-13       6     7          -1.87
   422 H Bay Shore               7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.12
   426 H North Babylon          18- 7      11    13           0.00
   428 A East Islip             20-14       6     1    ++     4.39
   502 A West Islip             15-10       5     5          -0.24
   504 H Sachem North           18-10       8    14    -     -2.00
   506 A Bellport               16- 7       9    15          -1.00
   507 H Huntington             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.09
   510 A West Babylon           18-12       6     7          -1.47
   512 H Longwood               16- 5      11    11           0.00
   516 H West Islip             13- 9       4     6    -     -2.08
   519 A Northport               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.92
   521 N Bay Shore              14-15 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Commack                12-13  o   -1     4    --    -5.50
   406 H Sachem East            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   504 H Sachem North           18-10       8    14    -     -2.00
   507 H Huntington             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.09
   516 H West Islip             13- 9       4     6    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Northport               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.92
   521 N Bay Shore              14-15 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.54
   418 A Northport               9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.92
   422 H Bay Shore               7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.12
   428 A East Islip             20-14       6     1    ++     4.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.36 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.72 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/