Region = MD IAAM A1             
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Tierney Ahearn        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2176895    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H John Carroll School    MD IAAM A1    (10- 9, 93.0)    10-12 2o
 322 A Severn School          MD IAAM A1    (13- 4, 97.1)     5-13   
 401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC ISL A      (23- 1, 99.9)     8-10   
 405 A Roland Park CS         MD IAAM A1    ( 4-11, 89.9)     9-11   
 407 H St. Mary's, MD         MD IAAM A1    (17- 5, 99.8)     6-11   
 412 A Mt. de Sales Academy   MD IAAM A1    ( 5- 9, 89.5)    12-11 2o
 414 A Bryn Mawr              MD IAAM A1    (10- 7, 93.7)     7- 5   
 421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD IAAM A1    (11- 5, 95.9)    12-13 2o
 423 H Good Counsel           DC WCAC       (16- 3, 89.6)    12- 5   
 426 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD IAAM A1    (15- 2, 99.8)     6- 7   
 428 A Towson HS              MD 3A         ( 8- 5, 83.4)    13- 9   
 502 A Maryvale Prep          MD IAAM A1    ( 6-10, 89.4)    11-12   
 506 H Mt. de Sales Academy   MD IAAM A1    ( 5- 9, 89.5)     9- 7   
 510 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD IAAM A1    (15- 2, 99.8)     7- 6   
 512 A St. Mary's, MD         MD IAAM A1    (17- 5, 99.8)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H John Carroll School    10-12 2o   -2     0          -1.49
   322 A Severn School           5-13      -8    -6          -1.89
   401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  8-10      -2    -9          n/a  
   405 A Roland Park CS          9-11      -2     1    -     -3.08
   407 H St. Mary's, MD          6-11      -5    -7    +      2.35
   412 A Mt. de Sales Academy   12-11 2o    1     1          -0.47
   414 A Bryn Mawr               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.70
   421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    12-13 2o   -1    -3    +      2.48
   423 H Good Counsel           12- 5       7     3          n/a  
   426 H St. Paul's SG, MD       6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.29
   428 A Towson HS              13- 9       4     7          n/a  
   502 A Maryvale Prep          11-12      -1     1    -     -2.57
   506 H Mt. de Sales Academy    9- 7       2     2          -0.93
   510 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.75
   512 A St. Mary's, MD         10-15      -5    -8    +      3.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Roland Park CS          9-11      -2     1    -     -3.08
   428 A Towson HS              13- 9       4     7    -          
   502 A Maryvale Prep          11-12      -1     1    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  8-10      -2    -9    +++        
   426 H St. Paul's SG, MD       6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.29
   510 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.75
   414 A Bryn Mawr               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.70
   407 H St. Mary's, MD          6-11      -5    -7    +      2.35
   421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    12-13 2o   -1    -3    +      2.48
   423 H Good Counsel           12- 5       7     3    +          
   512 A St. Mary's, MD         10-15      -5    -8    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.74 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.19 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/