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Region = MD IAAM A1 Nickname = D Gators Coach = Tierney AhearnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.2176895 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 318 H John Carroll School MD IAAM A1 (10- 9, 93.0) 10-12 2o 322 A Severn School MD IAAM A1 (13- 4, 97.1) 5-13 401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC ISL A (23- 1, 99.9) 8-10 405 A Roland Park CS MD IAAM A1 ( 4-11, 89.9) 9-11 407 H St. Mary's, MD MD IAAM A1 (17- 5, 99.8) 6-11 412 A Mt. de Sales Academy MD IAAM A1 ( 5- 9, 89.5) 12-11 2o 414 A Bryn Mawr MD IAAM A1 (10- 7, 93.7) 7- 5 421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD MD IAAM A1 (11- 5, 95.9) 12-13 2o 423 H Good Counsel DC WCAC (16- 3, 89.6) 12- 5 426 H St. Paul's SG, MD MD IAAM A1 (15- 2, 99.8) 6- 7 428 A Towson HS MD 3A ( 8- 5, 83.4) 13- 9 502 A Maryvale Prep MD IAAM A1 ( 6-10, 89.4) 11-12 506 H Mt. de Sales Academy MD IAAM A1 ( 5- 9, 89.5) 9- 7 510 A St. Paul's SG, MD MD IAAM A1 (15- 2, 99.8) 7- 6 512 A St. Mary's, MD MD IAAM A1 (17- 5, 99.8) 10-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H John Carroll School 10-12 2o -2 0 -1.49 322 A Severn School 5-13 -8 -6 -1.89 401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes 8-10 -2 -9 n/a 405 A Roland Park CS 9-11 -2 1 - -3.08 407 H St. Mary's, MD 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.35 412 A Mt. de Sales Academy 12-11 2o 1 1 -0.47 414 A Bryn Mawr 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.70 421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD 12-13 2o -1 -3 + 2.48 423 H Good Counsel 12- 5 7 3 n/a 426 H St. Paul's SG, MD 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.29 428 A Towson HS 13- 9 4 7 n/a 502 A Maryvale Prep 11-12 -1 1 - -2.57 506 H Mt. de Sales Academy 9- 7 2 2 -0.93 510 A St. Paul's SG, MD 7- 6 1 -8 +++ 9.75 512 A St. Mary's, MD 10-15 -5 -8 + 3.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Roland Park CS 9-11 -2 1 - -3.08 428 A Towson HS 13- 9 4 7 - 502 A Maryvale Prep 11-12 -1 1 - -2.57OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes 8-10 -2 -9 +++ 426 H St. Paul's SG, MD 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.29 510 A St. Paul's SG, MD 7- 6 1 -8 +++ 9.75 414 A Bryn Mawr 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.70 407 H St. Mary's, MD 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.35 421 H Notre Dame Prep, MD 12-13 2o -1 -3 + 2.48 423 H Good Counsel 12- 5 7 3 + 512 A St. Mary's, MD 10-15 -5 -8 + 3.81/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.74 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 86.19 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7