Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Brian Melanson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.0073318    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 75.1)     1-10   
 406 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-12, 58.7)     5- 1   
 411 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 72.5)    11-10   
 412 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-14, 57.8)     7- 2   
 413 H Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   (13- 6, 79.4)     6-13   
 415 H Holy Names Academy     NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-10, 65.3)     8- 4   
 425 H Albany Academy SG      NY B  Sec 2   (18- 4, 86.1)     3-17   
 427 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 68.1)     5- 6   
 502 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-14, 57.8)    12- 3   
 503 A Holy Names Academy     NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-10, 65.3)     7- 2   
 504 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-10, 66.1)    15- 9   
 509 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 72.5)     7-15   
 511 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   (11- 6, 76.2)     7-14   
 513 A Albany Academy SG      NY B  Sec 2   (18- 4, 86.1)     2-18   
 516 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 79.7)     9-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Averill Park            1-10      -9    -7          -1.20
   406 A South Glens Falls       5- 1       4     8    --    -4.62
   411 H Emma Willard           11-10       1    -3    ++     4.42
   412 A Cohoes                  7- 2       5     9    --    -4.49
   413 H Glens Falls             6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   415 H Holy Names Academy      8- 4       4     3           0.15
   425 H Albany Academy SG       3-17     -14   -17           0.00
   427 A Johnstown               5- 6      -1     0          -0.19
   502 H Cohoes                 12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   503 A Holy Names Academy      7- 2       5     2    +      2.98
   504 H Queensbury             15- 9       6     3    +      3.00
   509 A Emma Willard            7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.75
   511 H Scotia-Glenville        7-14      -7    -7           0.05
   513 A Albany Academy SG       2-18     -16   -18           0.00
   516 H Colonie                 9-21     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A South Glens Falls       5- 1       4     8    --    -4.62
   412 A Cohoes                  7- 2       5     9    --    -4.49
   509 A Emma Willard            7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Emma Willard           11-10       1    -3    ++     4.42
   413 H Glens Falls             6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   503 A Holy Names Academy      7- 2       5     2    +      2.98
   504 H Queensbury             15- 9       6     3    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.20 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.97 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.7
/