Region = NY Ivy                 
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Carol Pouliot         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2957764    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Rye Country Day        NE            ( 8- 5, 83.8)     5-15   
 408 H Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        (11- 4, 96.2)     9-12   
 411 H Portledge School       NY Indep      ( 6- 4, 85.6)    11- 7   
 413 H Hackley School         NY Ivy        (16- 2, 99.9)     3-12   
 415 A Fieldston School       NY Ivy        ( 9- 5, 92.5)     7-10   
 418 H Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 2-10, 83.4)     7- 5   
 420 A Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        (13- 4, 93.9)     7-10   
 422 A Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 0-12, 81.4)     7- 6   
 426 A Brearley School        NY Indep      ( 1- 1, 92.5)     9-16   
 429 H Fieldston School       NY Ivy        ( 9- 5, 92.5)     7-10   
 502 A Hackley School         NY Ivy        (16- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 504 A Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 2-10, 83.4)    12- 2   
 506 H Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        (13- 4, 93.9)     4- 9   
 511 H Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 0-12, 81.4)     9- 6   
 513 H Nightingale-Bamford    NY Indep      ( 0- 2, 73.0)    14- 1   
 518 A Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        (11- 4, 96.2)     7-17   
 522 A Hackley School         NY Ivy        (16- 2, 99.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Rye Country Day         5-15     -10     1          n/a  
   408 H Horace Mann School      9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.68
   411 H Portledge School       11- 7       4     1    +      2.11
   413 H Hackley School          3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   415 A Fieldston School        7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.33
   418 H Dalton School           7- 5       2     4    -     -2.11
   420 A Trinity School, NY      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.64
   422 A Poly Prep CDS           7- 6       1     3    -     -2.85
   426 A Brearley School         9-16      -7    -7           0.26
   429 H Fieldston School        7-10      -3    -5    +      2.02
   502 A Hackley School          3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   504 A Dalton School          12- 2      10     1    +++    8.20
   506 H Trinity School, NY      4- 9      -5    -6           1.34
   511 H Poly Prep CDS           9- 6       3     6    -     -3.16
   513 H Nightingale-Bamford    14- 1      13    14           0.00
   518 A Horace Mann School      7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   522 A Hackley School          2-15     -13   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Rye Country Day         5-15     -10     1    ---        
   418 H Dalton School           7- 5       2     4    -     -2.11
   422 A Poly Prep CDS           7- 6       1     3    -     -2.85
   511 H Poly Prep CDS           9- 6       3     6    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Dalton School          12- 2      10     1    +++    8.20
   408 H Horace Mann School      9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.68
   415 A Fieldston School        7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.33
   420 A Trinity School, NY      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.64
   411 H Portledge School       11- 7       4     1    +      2.11
   429 H Fieldston School        7-10      -3    -5    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.36 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.80 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/