Region = PA Sub A               
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Ellen Reilly          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.8606262    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 N Hayfield               VA Pat        ( 6- 7, 84.6)     8- 6   
 330 A Abington HS            PA Sub N      (12- 5, 86.0)     8-17   
 404 A Central Bucks West     PA Sub C      ( 7- 7, 76.2)    10-15   
 405 A Springfield (MontCo)   PA Sub A      (18- 3, 87.8)     4-14   
 407 H Upper Moreland         PA Sub A      (12- 8, 80.7)    12-13   
 414 A North Penn             PA Sub N      (19- 2, 94.7)     0-17   
 415 H Norristown Area        PA Sub N      ( 0- 7, 56.7)    14- 1   
 418 H Wissahickon            PA Sub A      (13- 7, 79.4)    10-13   
 421 H Upper Merion Area      PA Sub A      ( 2-18, 65.6)    12- 3   
 422 A Upper Dublin           PA Sub A      ( 5- 9, 76.0)    12- 7   
 426 A Methacton              PA Sub A      ( 4-14, 70.2)    18- 8   
 428 H Springfield (MontCo)   PA Sub A      (18- 3, 87.8)     6- 8   
 502 A Villa Maria Academy    PA CAL        (12- 6, 84.9)     9-13   
 503 A Upper Moreland         PA Sub A      (12- 8, 80.7)     4-14   
 505 A Wissahickon            PA Sub A      (13- 7, 79.4)     5-13   
 509 H Cheltenham             PA Sub C      ( 9- 9, 75.9)    12- 9   
 512 H Upper Dublin           PA Sub A      ( 5- 9, 76.0)     4-15   
 517 A Upper Merion Area      PA Sub A      ( 2-18, 65.6)    13- 3   
 519 H Methacton              PA Sub A      ( 4-14, 70.2)    10- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Hayfield                8- 6       2    -8          n/a  
   330 A Abington HS             8-17      -9   -10           1.00
   404 A Central Bucks West     10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.83
   405 A Springfield (MontCo)    4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   407 H Upper Moreland         12-13      -1    -3    +      2.45
   414 A North Penn              0-17     -17   -19           0.00
   415 H Norristown Area        14- 1      13    20           0.00
   418 H Wissahickon            10-13      -3    -2          -0.92
   421 H Upper Merion Area      12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   422 A Upper Dublin           12- 7       5     0    ++     5.96
   426 A Methacton              18- 8      10     4    ++     5.16
   428 H Springfield (MontCo)    6- 8      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   502 A Villa Maria Academy     9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.84
   503 A Upper Moreland          4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.30
   505 A Wissahickon             5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   509 H Cheltenham             12- 9       3     1           1.57
   512 H Upper Dublin            4-15     -11     1    ---  -11.30
   517 A Upper Merion Area      13- 3      10     9           0.58
   519 H Methacton              10- 3       7     7          -0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Upper Dublin            4-15     -11     1    ---  -11.30
   503 A Upper Moreland          4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.30
   404 A Central Bucks West     10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.83
   505 A Wissahickon             5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Hayfield                8- 6       2    -8    +++        
   428 H Springfield (MontCo)    6- 8      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   422 A Upper Dublin           12- 7       5     0    ++     5.96
   426 A Methacton              18- 8      10     4    ++     5.16
   502 A Villa Maria Academy     9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.84
   407 H Upper Moreland         12-13      -1    -3    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.16 Local Power Rank...........    66
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.74 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    72
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   108
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/