Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lady Lions           Coach  =   Heidi Rothfuss        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7564392    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 85.0)     4- 7   
 409 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.4)     3- 8   
 412 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 85.1)     8- 9   
 415 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (17- 4, 92.4)     5-12   
 419 N Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 83.4)     6-12   
 421 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 85.0)     9-14   
 427 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 72.0)     8- 6   
 428 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 83.4)    10- 9   
 429 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 73.2)    11-10   
 502 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 85.1)    10-19   
 504 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 81.7)     7-12   
 505 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 61.8)    16- 1   
 507 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 76.0)    16-15 2o
 509 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 69.9)    16- 7   
 511 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (17- 4, 92.4)     7-14   
 513 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 72.0)     7- 4   
 517 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 72.0)     7- 5   
 519 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 83.4)    14-11   
 521 N Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 88.7)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.46
   409 A Webster Thomas          3- 8      -5    -6           1.83
   412 A Penfield                8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.53
   415 A Rush-Henrietta          5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   419 N Spencerport             6-12      -6    -4          -1.11
   421 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-14      -5    -7    +      2.46
   427 H Fairport                8- 6       2     7    --    -5.55
   428 H Spencerport            10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.89
   429 A Brockport              11-10       1     4    -     -3.36
   502 H Penfield               10-19      -9    -5    -     -3.47
   504 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY   7-12      -5    -4          -0.87
   505 H Churchville-Chili      16- 1      15    17           0.00
   507 H Webster Schroeder      16-15 2o    1     3    -     -2.55
   509 H Gates-Chili            16- 7       9     9          -0.64
   511 H Rush-Henrietta          7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
   513 A Fairport                7- 4       3     5    -     -2.55
   517 H Fairport                7- 5       2     7    --    -5.55
   519 A Spencerport            14-11       3    -5    +++    8.89
   521 N Irondequoit             4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Fairport                8- 6       2     7    --    -5.55
   517 H Fairport                7- 5       2     7    --    -5.55
   429 A Brockport              11-10       1     4    -     -3.36
   502 H Penfield               10-19      -9    -5    -     -3.47
   507 H Webster Schroeder      16-15 2o    1     3    -     -2.55
   513 A Fairport                7- 4       3     5    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Penfield                8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.53
   519 A Spencerport            14-11       3    -5    +++    8.89
   428 H Spencerport            10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.89
   521 N Irondequoit             4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   408 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.46
   415 A Rush-Henrietta          5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   421 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-14      -5    -7    +      2.46
   511 H Rush-Henrietta          7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.55 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.99 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/