Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Jodi Patterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6017532    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     7-13   
 406 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     7- 4   
 408 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     6- 7   
 409 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.0)     6-11   
 412 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)     7- 1   
 414 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)     6- 8   
 421 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)    12- 7   
 425 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 86.4)    10-12   
 427 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     8-11   
 502 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     8-12   
 504 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)   
 506 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)     9-11   
 510 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.0)    10-11   
 512 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 86.4)    13- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Williamsville North     7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.09
   406 H Sweet Home              7- 4       3     2           0.99
   408 A Orchard Park            6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.30
   409 A Clarence                6-11      -5    -3          -1.83
   412 H West Seneca West        7- 1       6     7          -1.56
   414 H Lancaster               6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.39
   421 A Sweet Home             12- 7       5     1    +      3.27
   425 H Frontier               10-12      -2     0    -     -2.68
   427 H Williamsville North     8-11      -3    -3           0.62
   502 H Orchard Park            8-12      -4    -6    +      2.02
   506 A Lancaster               9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   510 H Clarence               10-11      -1    -2           1.89
   512 A Frontier               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Williamsville North     7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.09
   425 H Frontier               10-12      -2     0    -     -2.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Orchard Park            6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.30
   414 H Lancaster               6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.39
   506 A Lancaster               9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   512 A Frontier               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.61
   421 A Sweet Home             12- 7       5     1    +      3.27
   502 H Orchard Park            8-12      -4    -6    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.92 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.98 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/