Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9015350    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H South Hadley           MA West       (11- 6, 79.7)    19- 5   
 409 A Martha's Vineyard      MA South      (10- 7, 76.0)    12- 6   
 414 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 9-11, 75.6)    17- 3   
 419 A West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 1- 6, 68.6)    13- 0   
 421 A Northampton            MA West       ( 6- 3, 84.5)     7- 4   
 426 A East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 6, 67.6)    16- 5   
 428 A Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 1- 6, 69.6)    14- 6   
 430 A Williston Northampton  NE            ( 2- 7, 74.8)    13- 4   
 503 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 1- 9, 71.3)    10- 2   
 505 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 6- 5, 79.3)    15- 6   
 510 H Longmeadow             MA West       (22- 1, 94.9)     6-16   
 513 H Northampton            MA West       ( 6- 3, 84.5)     6- 7   
 518 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 9-11, 75.6)    10- 7   
 520 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 6, 67.6)   
 524 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 6- 5, 79.3)    13- 6   
 527 A Longmeadow             MA West       (22- 1, 94.9)     0-13   
 607 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 9-11, 75.6)    14- 7   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA West       (22- 1, 94.9)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H South Hadley           19- 5      14     7    +      2.78
   409 A Martha's Vineyard      12- 6       6     8    -     -2.65
   414 H Amherst-Pelham         17- 3      14    11           0.00
   419 A West Springfield, MA   13- 0      13    16           0.00
   421 A Northampton             7- 4       3     0    +      2.87
   426 A East Longmeadow        16- 5      11    17           0.00
   428 A Cathedral, MA          14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A Williston Northampton  13- 4       9    10          n/a  
   503 H Westfield, MA          10- 2       8    15    -     -2.00
   505 H Agawam                 15- 6       9     7           1.38
   510 H Longmeadow              6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.09
   513 H Northampton             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.48
   518 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.02
   524 H Agawam                 13- 6       7     7          -0.62
   527 A Longmeadow              0-13     -13   -10           0.00
   607 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   611 N Longmeadow              2-19     -17    -9          -0.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.02
   409 A Martha's Vineyard      12- 6       6     8    -     -2.65
   428 A Cathedral, MA          14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   503 H Westfield, MA          10- 2       8    15    -     -2.00
   510 H Longmeadow              6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.09
   513 H Northampton             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.48
   607 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H South Hadley           19- 5      14     7    +      2.78
   421 A Northampton             7- 4       3     0    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.78 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.09 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
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