Conf =  B1                        Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Dick Lundblad         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4880371    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   (16- 4, 86.4)    12- 9   
 408 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 73.5)    16- 7   
 411 H Christian Bros Academy NY C  Sec 3   (13- 5, 86.5)    12-11   
 414 A Tully                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 79.7)    13- 3   
 416 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 6, 86.6)    16- 2   
 417 A Lancaster CDS          PA C-D3       ( 4- 4, 81.9)    12- 6   
 418 A Manheim Township       PA C-D3       ( 4- 9, 77.0)    13- 1   
 425 N LaFayette, NY          NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 8, 76.9)    17- 7   
 426 A Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.0)     4-16   
 428 N Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 78.3)    13- 6   
 503 H Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 69.6)    19-10   
 505 A Onondaga               NY C  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 69.5)    13- 4   
 509 H Westhill               NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 82.3)    15-13   
 511 A Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (15- 5, 87.0)    17- 8   
 512 A Chittenango            NY C  Sec 3   ( 2-15, 66.9)    13- 3   
 513 A Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 78.3)   
 516 A Bishop Ludden          NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 82.5)     6-10   
 517 A Jamesville-DeWitt      NY B  Sec 3   ( 7-12, 74.7)    17- 4   
 521 H Bishop Ludden          NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 82.5)    11- 6   
 524 N Westhill               NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 82.3)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Jordan-Elbridge        12- 9       3     1           1.30
   408 A Cortland               16- 7       9    14          -1.00
   411 H Christian Bros Academy 12-11       1     3    -     -2.65
   414 A Tully                  13- 3      10     8           1.57
   416 A Rockbridge County      16- 2      14     1          n/a  
   417 A Lancaster CDS          12- 6       6     6          n/a  
   418 A Manheim Township       13- 1      12    11          n/a  
   425 N LaFayette, NY          17- 7      10    12           0.00
   426 A Skaneateles             4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   428 N Cazenovia              13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   503 H Homer                  19-10       9    20          -1.00
   505 A Onondaga               13- 4       9    18          -1.00
   509 H Westhill               15-13       2     7    --    -5.88
   511 A Carthage               17- 8       9     1    +++    7.87
   512 A Chittenango            13- 3      10    21           0.00
   516 A Bishop Ludden           6-10      -4     5    ---   -9.55
   517 A Jamesville-DeWitt      17- 4      13    13           0.00
   521 H Bishop Ludden          11- 6       5     7    -     -2.60
   524 N Westhill                9-10      -1     6    ---   -7.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Bishop Ludden           6-10      -4     5    ---   -9.55
   524 N Westhill                9-10      -1     6    ---   -7.86
   509 H Westhill               15-13       2     7    --    -5.88
   411 H Christian Bros Academy 12-11       1     3    -     -2.65
   428 N Cazenovia              13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   521 H Bishop Ludden          11- 6       5     7    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Rockbridge County      16- 2      14     1    +++        
   511 A Carthage               17- 8       9     1    +++    7.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.12 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.47 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/