Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Kathy Parker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4951096    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 1- 6, 69.6)     9- 2   
 408 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 9-11, 75.6)    12- 0   
 412 H West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 1- 6, 68.6)     8- 1   
 415 A Conard                 CT Div 1      ( 5- 9, 84.6)    11- 6   
 419 A Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 1- 9, 71.3)    12- 1   
 422 H Hotchkiss School       NE            (10- 3, 95.0)    12-11   
 426 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 6- 5, 79.3)    13- 4   
 428 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 1- 9, 71.3)    10- 1   
 430 H Pinkerton Academy      NH D1         (17- 2, 98.3)    10- 5   
 503 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 6, 67.6)    11- 3   
 506 A Northampton            MA West       ( 6- 3, 84.5)    13- 7   
 510 A Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 85.8)    16- 6   
 512 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 6, 67.6)    15- 2   
 514 A Deerfield Academy      NE            ( 6- 7, 83.8)    12- 1   
 517 A Simsbury               CT Div 1      ( 5- 9, 82.6)    13- 4   
 520 A Agawam                 MA West       ( 6- 5, 79.3)    19- 8   
 523 A South Windsor          CT Div 1      (10- 6, 91.5)    14- 3   
 527 H Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 85.8)    13- 0   
 530 H Northampton            MA West       ( 6- 3, 84.5)    17- 5   
 601 A South Hadley           MA West       (11- 6, 79.7)    16- 3   
 611 N Minnechaug             MA West       (13- 4, 85.8)    19- 2   
 615 H Shrewsbury             MA Centrl     ( 8- 5, 77.3)    22- 5   
 618 H Westwood               MA South      (23- 0, 99.9)    11-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Cathedral, MA           9- 2       7    26    -     -3.00
   408 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 0      12    18           0.00
   412 H West Springfield, MA    8- 1       7    27    -     -3.00
   415 A Conard                 11- 6       5     9          n/a  
   419 A Westfield, MA          12- 1      11    22           0.00
   422 H Hotchkiss School       12-11       1     0          n/a  
   426 H Agawam                 13- 4       9    16          -1.00
   428 H Westfield, MA          10- 1       9    24          -1.00
   430 H Pinkerton Academy      10- 5       5    -2          n/a  
   503 H East Longmeadow        11- 3       8    28    -     -2.00
   506 A Northampton            13- 7       6     9    -     -3.22
   510 A Minnechaug             16- 6      10     7    +      2.09
   512 H East Longmeadow        15- 2      13    28           0.00
   514 A Deerfield Academy      12- 1      11    10          n/a  
   517 A Simsbury               13- 4       9    11          n/a  
   520 A Agawam                 19- 8      11    14           0.00
   523 A South Windsor          14- 3      11     2          n/a  
   527 H Minnechaug             13- 0      13    10           0.00
   530 H Northampton            17- 5      12    11           0.00
   601 A South Hadley           16- 3      13    13           0.00
   611 N Minnechaug             19- 2      17     9           0.91
   615 H Shrewsbury             22- 5      17    18           0.00
   618 H Westwood               11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Conard                 11- 6       5     9    --         
   405 H Cathedral, MA           9- 2       7    26    -     -3.00
   412 H West Springfield, MA    8- 1       7    27    -     -3.00
   503 H East Longmeadow        11- 3       8    28    -     -2.00
   506 A Northampton            13- 7       6     9    -     -3.22
   618 H Westwood               11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Pinkerton Academy      10- 5       5    -2    +++        
   523 A South Windsor          14- 3      11     2    +++        
   510 A Minnechaug             16- 6      10     7    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.87 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.99 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 22- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.3
/