Houston                       3 - 4


 
                                     Region = TN West                
   Nickname = N Lady Mustangs        Coach  =   Welton/Wodowski       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.9467773    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Independence           TN State      ( 2-17, 72.3)    16- 4   
 227 H Ravenwood              TN West       (22- 1, 99.9)     6-15   
 304 H Pope John Paul II      TN State      ( 0- 7, 73.3)   
 321 H St. Agnes Academy      TN State      ( 0- 5, 70.7)   
 324 A Hutchison School       TN West       ( 6- 7, 88.6)  4
 402 A Father Ryan            TN West       ( 8- 7, 86.9)     9- 2   
 407 H St. Mary's Episcopal   TN State      ( 1- 4, 75.8)   
 410 H Father Ryan            TN West       ( 8- 7, 86.9)     8-10 2o
 414 H Hutchison School       TN West       ( 6- 7, 88.6)  4
 416 A Ravenwood              TN West       (22- 1, 99.9)     4-18   
 416 A Univ. HS, Nashville    TN East       ( 2- 9, 82.0)    10- 7   
 417 A Pope John Paul II      TN State      ( 0- 7, 73.3)   
 418 H St. Agnes Academy      TN State      ( 0- 5, 70.7)   
 425 A St. Mary's Episcopal   TN State      ( 1- 4, 75.8)   
 507 N Franklin HS, TN        TN East       (13- 4, 94.5)     4-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Independence           16- 4      12    14           0.00
   227 H Ravenwood               6-15      -9   -13           1.00
   402 A Father Ryan             9- 2       7    -1    +++    8.52
   410 H Father Ryan             8-10 2o   -2     0          -1.81
   416 A Ravenwood               4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   416 A Univ. HS, Nashville    10- 7       3     3          -0.31
   507 N Franklin HS, TN         4-12      -8    -8           0.53


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Father Ryan             9- 2       7    -1    +++    8.52




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.00 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.04 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3


  
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