Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8421021    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.0)     6-17   
 402 H Watertown              NY B  Sec 3   ( 9-10, 79.6)    16- 0   
 404 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (12- 7, 86.2)     7- 8   
 406 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   (16- 4, 86.4)    14-15   
 408 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 77.1)    11- 9   
 412 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 73.4)    14- 6   
 418 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 88.6)     2-10   
 421 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 95.2)     3-14   
 422 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   (12- 7, 86.2)    13-12   
 426 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 7, 90.8)    13-17   
 428 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.8)     9-14   
 430 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 69.2)    17- 4   
 503 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 77.1)    13-10   
 505 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 71.2)    18- 5   
 506 H Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 8-12, 75.6)     6- 4   
 509 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (21- 3, 99.9)     3-18   
 512 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (11- 9, 80.5)    15-11   
 517 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 95.2)    11-18   
 521 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.8)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Skaneateles             6-17     -11   -15           0.00
   402 H Watertown              16- 0      16     3    +++    6.23
   404 A Corcoran-Fowler         7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.85
   406 A Jordan-Elbridge        14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.06
   408 H Oswego                 11- 9       2     6    --    -4.29
   412 H Central Square         14- 6       8     9          -1.98
   418 A Cicero-North Syracuse   2-10      -8    -7          -0.70
   421 A West Genesee            3-14     -11   -13           0.00
   422 H Corcoran-Fowler        13-12       1    -2    +      3.81
   426 H Baldwinsville          13-17      -4    -7    +      3.44
   428 A Liverpool               9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   430 A Rome Free Academy      17- 4      13    12           0.00
   503 A Oswego                 13-10       3     4          -1.24
   505 H Auburn                 18- 5      13    12           0.00
   506 H Fulton                  6- 4       2     7    --    -5.76
   509 A Fayetteville-Manlius    3-18     -15   -18           0.00
   512 H East Syracuse-Minoa    15-11       4     2           1.15
   517 H West Genesee           11-18      -7   -11    +      3.00
   521 A Liverpool               5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Oswego                 11- 9       2     6    --    -4.29
   506 H Fulton                  6- 4       2     7    --    -5.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Watertown              16- 0      16     3    +++    6.23
   406 A Jordan-Elbridge        14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.06
   428 A Liverpool               9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   404 A Corcoran-Fowler         7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.85
   422 H Corcoran-Fowler        13-12       1    -2    +      3.81
   426 H Baldwinsville          13-17      -4    -7    +      3.44
   517 H West Genesee           11-18      -7   -11    +      3.00
   521 A Liverpool               5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.36 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.07 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/