Region = DC WCAC                
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Michael Haight        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1035767    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Glenelg Country School MD IAAM B     (11- 3, 83.4)    12- 6   
 317 H Holton-Arms School     DC ISL A      ( 9- 6, 85.2)     8- 9   
 321 H Georgetown Visitation  DC ISL A      (15- 6, 92.4)     4-14   
 322 A Magruder               MD 4A         ( 7- 6, 66.6)    15- 2   
 324 H Archbishop Spalding    MD IAAM A2    ( 6-11, 87.2)   
 330 A Hill School            PA Indep      (13- 5, 91.2)    10- 7   
 331 H Sewickley Academy      PA WP D1      (15- 4, 94.3)    10- 4   
 405 A Elizabeth Seton        DC WCAC       ( 2- 8, 70.8)    14- 5   
 407 H Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       ( 4-10, 80.0)    16- 5   
 411 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC WCAC       (12- 6, 85.9)     9- 7   
 412 A Stone Ridge CDS        DC ISL A      (13- 4, 88.9)    12-11   
 414 H Bishop Ireton          DC WCAC       (11- 5, 85.2)     9- 3   
 421 H Holy Cross, MD         DC WCAC       ( 8- 6, 83.6)    10- 8   
 423 A Seton Keough           MD IAAM A1    ( 6- 9, 91.7)     5-12   
 428 A St. John's College, DC DC WCAC       ( 9- 5, 84.1)    10- 7   
 502 H Sidwell Friends        DC ISL A      ( 6-12, 76.7)    15- 4   
 503 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC WCAC       ( 2-10, 64.1)    21- 2   
 510 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC WCAC       ( 2-10, 64.1)    20- 2   
 512 H Holy Cross, MD         DC WCAC       ( 8- 6, 83.6)    10- 7   
 517 N Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC WCAC       (12- 6, 85.9)    12- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Glenelg Country School 12- 6       6     5          n/a  
   317 H Holton-Arms School      8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.66
   321 H Georgetown Visitation   4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.42
   322 A Magruder               15- 2      13    21          n/a  
   330 A Hill School            10- 7       3    -2          n/a  
   331 H Sewickley Academy      10- 4       6    -3          n/a  
   405 A Elizabeth Seton        14- 5       9    17          -1.00
   407 H Bishop O'Connell       16- 5      11    10           0.00
   411 A Paul VI Catholic, VA    9- 7       2     2          -0.53
   412 A Stone Ridge CDS        12-11       1     0           1.50
   414 H Bishop Ireton           9- 3       6     5           0.39
   421 H Holy Cross, MD         10- 8       2     7    --    -5.23
   423 A Seton Keough            5-12      -7    -3          n/a  
   428 A St. John's College, DC 10- 7       3     4          -1.32
   502 H Sidwell Friends        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   503 H St. Mary's Ryken       21- 2      19    26           0.00
   510 H St. Mary's Ryken       20- 2      18    26           0.00
   512 H Holy Cross, MD         10- 7       3     7    --    -4.23
   517 N Paul VI Catholic, VA   12- 9       3     3          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Holton-Arms School      8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.66
   321 H Georgetown Visitation   4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.42
   421 H Holy Cross, MD         10- 8       2     7    --    -5.23
   512 H Holy Cross, MD         10- 7       3     7    --    -4.23
   423 A Seton Keough            5-12      -7    -3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Sewickley Academy      10- 4       6    -3    +++        
   330 A Hill School            10- 7       3    -2    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.63 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.26 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/