Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Rebecca Loubert       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8047028    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)    11-14   
 408 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)    12- 1   
 412 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     3- 1   
 416 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     1- 6   
 418 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 420 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.0)    10-12   
 425 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 86.9)    12-10   
 427 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.0)     7- 8   
 429 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)     5-11   
 502 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)     6- 4   
 504 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     5-11   
 506 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     7- 8   
 509 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     3- 2   
 510 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     9-10 2o
 512 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 86.9)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Lancaster              11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   408 A West Seneca West       12- 1      11     6    +      3.26
   412 H Orchard Park            3- 1       2    -6    +++    8.56
   416 H Williamsville North     1- 6      -5    -4          -0.84
   418 A Amherst                 5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   420 H Clarence               10-12      -2    -3           1.42
   425 A Niagara-Wheatfield     12-10       2     0    +      2.68
   427 A Clarence                7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.70
   429 H Lancaster               5-11      -6    -6           0.92
   502 H West Seneca West        6- 4       2     7    --    -5.03
   504 A Orchard Park            5-11      -6    -6           0.84
   506 H Sweet Home              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.47
   509 A Sweet Home              3- 2       1     1          -0.19
   510 A Williamsville North     9-10 2o   -1    -4    +      3.44
   512 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7-13      -6     0    --    -5.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H West Seneca West        6- 4       2     7    --    -5.03
   512 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7-13      -6     0    --    -5.61
   506 H Sweet Home              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Orchard Park            3- 1       2    -6    +++    8.56
   406 A Lancaster              11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   408 A West Seneca West       12- 1      11     6    +      3.26
   425 A Niagara-Wheatfield     12-10       2     0    +      2.68
   427 A Clarence                7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.70
   510 A Williamsville North     9-10 2o   -1    -4    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.39 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.53 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/