Fauquier                      2 - 5


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Paul Stuart           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.6508331    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 A Stone Bridge           VA Dulles     (11- 2, 88.8)     2- 8   
 414 H Heritage               VA Dulles     ( 2-10, 68.6)    15- 2   
 418 H Loudoun County         VA Dulles     ( 5- 4, 77.7)   
 425 A Broad Run              VA Dulles     ( 4- 4, 82.9)     9-11   
 503 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      ( 9- 6, 89.2)     3-15   
 505 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 9- 9, 85.5)     5-14   
 506 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 6, 86.6)     7-18   
 512 H Potomac Falls          VA Dulles     ( 4- 3, 74.5)    13- 4   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Stone Bridge            2- 8      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   414 H Heritage               15- 2      13     9           0.24
   425 A Broad Run               9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.15
   503 A Western Albemarle       3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   505 A Charlottesville         5-14      -9    -8          -0.26
   506 H Rockbridge County       7-18     -11    -8          -1.78
   512 H Potomac Falls          13- 4       9     3    ++     5.18


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Stone Bridge            2- 8      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   425 A Broad Run               9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.15
   512 H Potomac Falls          13- 4       9     3    ++     5.18




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.58 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.36 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7


  
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